Overall ROI
+0.3%
Hit rate
24%
Net units
+0.5
Graded picks
217
Closing-line value
beat the close = sharp
25%
of picks beat the close
44 beat
105 flat
25 faded
+0.6%Avg CLV
174Picks priced
+11%Best beat
CLV per pick — distribution
← faded the close±1% flatbeat the close →
Best closes beaten
Jackson MLUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
$1.77 → $1.59 close
+11%
Patterson MLUFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
$3.00 → $2.70 close
+11%
Diego Ferreira MLUFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
$2.15 → $1.96 close
+10%
CLV = the best price available when the pick was published vs where the line closed (±1% counts as flat). Beating the close consistently is the most durable sharpness signal — it shows up long before ROI and survives the variance ROI doesn't.
By bet type
Moneyline174 picks · 63% hit
+0.3%
KO/TKO7 picks · 71% hit
—
Decision2 picks · 0% hit
—
Submission1 picks · 100% hit
—
Strongest divisions
Middleweight69%
26 picks
Bantamweight54%
26 picks
Lightweight72%
25 picks
Welterweight58%
24 picks
Featherweight71%
14 picks
Recent breakdowns
newest first
UFC Vegas 114: Emmett vs Vallejos Full Card Picks and Predictions
3 months ago · 1 picks
-100.0%
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan Full Card Predictions, and Betting Breakdown
7 months ago · 13 picks · 62% hit
+18.6%
UFC 322 Predictions: Makhachev vs Della Maddalena Full Card Picks and Breakdown
7 months ago · 12 picks · 75% hit
+7.3%
UFC Vegas 111: Bonfim vs Brown Full Card Predictions and Breakdown
8 months ago · 10 picks · 60% hit
-4.5%
UFC Vegas 110: Garcia vs Onama Full Card Predictions and Quick Picks
8 months ago · 1 picks
-100.0%
We were spoiled in 2024, champs really need to pick it up in 2025
9 months ago · 1 picks
-100.0%
Noche UFC: Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva Full Card Picks
9 months ago · 11 picks · 18% hit
-53.4%
UFC Paris: Imavov vs Borralho Full Card Predictions
10 months ago · 12 picks · 58% hit
-24.6%
Underdog Lock for UFC Paris 🔒
10 months ago · 1 picks · 100% hit
+105.0%
UFC Vegas 108: Taira vs Park Full Card Predictions
11 months ago · 11 picks · 73% hit
+8.1%
UFC Abu Dhabi: Whittaker vs de Ridder Full Card Predictions
11 months ago · 12 picks · 50% hit
+0.8%
UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira Full Card Predictions and Breakdown
12 months ago · 11 picks · 82% hit
+18.1%
UFC Baku: Hill vs Rountree Full Card Predictions and Bets
12 months ago · 11 picks · 45% hit
UPCOMING
UFC Atlanta: Usman vs Buckley Full Card Predictions
12 months ago · 8 picks · 50% hit
-18.3%
UFC Vegas 107: Blanchfield vs Barber FULL CARD Predictions!
13 months ago · 7 picks · 57% hit
-7.5%
UFC Des Moines: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo Full Card Predictions
14 months ago · 12 picks · 58% hit
-18.7%
UFC 313: Pereira VS Ankalaev Full Card Predictions
16 months ago · 9 picks · 78% hit
+40.9%
UFC 312: Du Plessis Vs Strickland 2 Full Card Predictions
17 months ago · 10 picks · 60% hit
+0.2%
UFC Riyadh: Adesanya Vs Imavov Full Card Predictions
17 months ago · 11 picks · 64% hit
+9.3%
UFC 309: Jones VS Miocic Full Card Predictions
19 months ago · 12 picks · 67% hit
+7.0%
UFC FIGHT NIGHT: PRATES VS MAGNY FULL CARD QUICK PICKS
20 months ago · 5 picks · 100% hit
+44.1%
UFC Edmonton: Moreno Vs Albazi Full Card Predictions
20 months ago · 13 picks · 85% hit
+48.9%
UFC Vegas 99: Pereira Vs Hernandez Full Card Predictions
20 months ago · 7 picks · 43% hit
-27.9%