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Prophecy read
Parkin v Machado
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Parkin 10-0
VS
8-4-1 Machado
6'4"
height
6'4"
260 lb
weight
205 lb
79"
reach
78"
30
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.9
strikes landed / min
5.8
52%
striking accuracy
53%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
58%
striking defence
63%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
41%
takedown accuracy
0%
50%
takedown defence
82%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Mick Parkin
“I think Mick Parkin's going to keep it on the feet I think he's going to dominate mck Parkin's going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Mick Parkin
“I think Mick Parkin's going to keep it on the feet I think he's going to dominate mck Parkin's going to be the pick”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I'm just going for Mick Parkin straight up as minus 350”
$1.29
Sherdog.com picks Mick Parkin VALUE
“I'm just going for Mick Parkin straight up as minus 350”
$1.29
WP
We Want Picks picks Mick Parkin
“Mick Parkin made his UFC debut against Jamal poges you can see here good volume 95 significant strikes zero control time whatsoever and he only threw 98 strikes which means pretty much every single strike he threw was significant a significant strike is ruled to strike at range or obviously with a bunch of power and that's what Mick does he manages the range he wants to pick you apart on the outside if he does come in close he's literally going to lean on you and wear on your shoulders and hold you and slow down the entire Pace to where he wants to fight and then he will take you down if he has that opportunity he's pretty well-rounded I mean he's got solid BJJ he will shoot more takedowns than most heavyweights he will also Chase subm missions which doesn't always work out for him but man I I hate to keep saying this but mck Parkin at $9,200 seems a bit expensive but there are some red flags with his opponent he's taking on Caio Machado Caio Machado I think he's a pretty well-rounded guy”
We Want Picks picks Mick Parkin
“Mick Parkin made his UFC debut against Jamal poges you can see here good volume 95 significant strikes zero control time whatsoever and he only threw 98 strikes which means pretty much every single strike he threw was significant a significant strike is ruled to strike at range or obviously with a bunch of power and that's what Mick does he manages the range he wants to pick you apart on the outside if he does come in close he's literally going to lean on you and wear on your shoulders and hold you and slow down the entire Pace to where he wants to fight and then he will take you down if he has that opportunity he's pretty well-rounded I mean he's got solid BJJ he will shoot more takedowns than most heavyweights he will also Chase subm missions which doesn't always work out for him but man I I hate to keep saying this but mck Parkin at $9,200 seems a bit expensive but there are some red flags with his opponent he's taking on Caio Machado Caio Machado I think he's a pretty well-rounded guy”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mick Parkin
“obviously I'm picking Mick Parkin who trains with Tom Aspen the interim champ he's British he's got hands I don't think mado's that good”
$1.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Mick Parkin
“obviously I'm picking Mick Parkin who trains with Tom Aspen the interim champ he's British he's got hands I don't think mado's that good”
$1.30
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Mick Parkin
“I do like Mick Parkin in this fight”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Mick Parkin
“I do like Mick Parkin in this fight”
CM
CHOL MMA picks Mick Parkin
“I think MC Parkin will get this done on the feet he'll out strike him for three rounds”
CHOL MMA picks Mick Parkin
“I think MC Parkin will get this done on the feet he'll out strike him for three rounds”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mick Parkin
“give me mck Mick Parkin to win this fight in a very uneventful heavyweight decision”
$1.30
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mick Parkin
“give me mck Mick Parkin to win this fight in a very uneventful heavyweight decision”
$1.30
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Parkin10-0
L
Tybura
Mar '25
W
Brzeski
Jul '24
W
Usman
Mar '24
W
Machado
Nov '23
W
Pogues
Jul '23
Machado8-4-1
No settled fights on record.