UFC Fight Night Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Barralho

“my pick of the night is going to be none other than NOT_IN_ROSTER_1. He's a minus 120. He's fighting Nassourdine Imavov. It's going to be a well-contested bout. I feel like it's going to be a close fight and the lines show it. Nassourdine Imavov plus 100 and Kyle Bario minus 120. However, I feel like Bario has all the tools to be able to take this fight to the ground and control Nassourdine Imavov. If he can do that, he'll tire him out and maybe in the later rounds he'll be able to work some jiu-jitsu, get the rear naked choke, potentially the head and arm triangle. I feel like he's got a big edge on the ground. He needs to avoid the exchanges with Nassourdine Imavov, especially the boxing, because that's Immov specialty. Now, if this fight goes past three rounds, I feel like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 has all the tools to potentially get the decision. Early on, Immov is dangerous, so he's going to have to avoid those early explosive outbursts and look for the takedown. So, at a minus 120, I'm looking for NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 to take him off down, control him, potentially getting the decision or the rear naked choke.”