MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
babysharpMMA🦈
UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · breakdown

UFC Denver: Namajunas vs Cortez | Betting Companion + Early Picks and Predictions

BA babysharpMMA🦈59% hit
24 months ago 3W–2L · +1.4u 5/6 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MJ Montel Jackson v Da'Mon Blackshear MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to take Montel Jackson on this and really the reason I'm leaning Montel Jackson is if we get over here to his stat the man just doesn't get hit a lot and he's putting out about as much as uh Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear gets hit and when you look at the ground game the takedowns and whatever he's just he's above him on that so I think in every area especially with a slight reach Advantage he's basically got him beat everywhere on this um so I think honestly that's a clear choice right there on Montel Montel Jackson and I'm going with him too”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.74
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
CJ Charles Johnson v Joshua Van MONEYLINE WON
“I've got van in this one and I don't think it's going to be an easy fight for him especially at this reach disadvantage that he's got to deal with um but he's dealt with this his entire career and he's made it where he's made it uh being that tall you know what I'm saying so I think he's going to be consistent here”
Line since pick CLV −14%
◆ entry$2.70 close$3.15
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
FK Fatima Kline v Jasmine Jasudavicius MONEYLINE LOST
“so Fatima Kline will be my pick for that”
Line since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$1.91 close$2.09
AA Abdul Razak Alhassan v Cody Brundage MONEYLINE VALUE
“Abdul Razak Alhassan and Cody Brundage Cody Brundage Brundage uh I don't think Cody Brundage brunes is that special of a fighter uh strikes Landing per minute is some of the worst I've seen since I've started doing these stat lines so you can't I mean really especially when you get over here this is you know the stats aren't even really worth considering they're pretty honest they're pretty balanced just with Abdul Razak Alhassan having double the output and getting hit twice as much but then when you see Cody Brundage isn't even hitting you know anything that's not a factor at all that's m um the takedowns could be a factor uh but Abdul Razak Alhassan's got a decent takedown uh yeah 50% but really where I think this comes down to is I think it's going to be knockout the vicus I don't practice these names I need to though I need to though after dark comment now”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.74 now$1.62
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
SP Santiago Ponzinibbio v Muslim Salikhov MONEYLINE LOST
“but officially I'm picking Santiago Ponzinibbio but if I were to bet it would be Muslim Salikhov because I can't trust that chin too much but that's kind of why I'm picking them overall um it's just because Muslim Salikhov gases really bad um”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.51 close$1.57
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
JS Jean Silva v Drew Dober MONEYLINE WON
“I'm taking Jean Silva if I didn't say that um on this Montel Montel Jackson Deon black sh I'm going to take Montel Jackson on this and really the reason I'm leaning Montel Jackson is if we get over here to his stat the man just doesn't get hit a lot... but yeah so there's that and there's you know as they're working in these new guys and new people or whatever into the EVENT_DETAILS some of this insufficient dad is going to be there uh but it'll get filled in in time um but what I like using this for though and this really this really helps me a lot this is with my round props and uh how I decide how to go with like the double chance Victory um so for instance like if you look at this ponan line he doesn't get the submissions and you know what I'm saying and like you know that but this is kind of it's right here so you can see it so I would go to KO decision on him all day but not to go all over the place Montel Montel Jackson and Deon Black Shear um so you see there on the fiveyear average match end uh Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear he wins in the distance 40% of the time and he loses Going the Distance 60% of the time uh so it's insufficient data but from what he has that's how he's doing so if he has a 40% chance of winning it basically right now um and the odds reflected that so that's what this iio is here that's the implied odds and I just took um what their odds were you know what I'm saying and put that on a converter and just put that there uh so whoever's the bigger percentage in each fight that's whoever the favorite is in that um pium says I'm going to end up putting two more units on Garcia and take him by K for a unit when props drop yeah got him too um I've got a total degenerate parlay for that card uh I think it's like a $5 parlay and it pays like 22 grand and I'm testing something on that uh I'm not gonna R run around Robin on it and I'm probably not going to hit it either uh but just kind of watched the market for a few days and watched where the money was going and I know you can't watch the money on everything uh but there's a threshold I was looking for but if it hits boys we're in and hell I'll put that up when it's uh next week or whatever um because man that'd be sick of [__] but so in the first fight that I've got down there I'm taking Jean Silva if I didn't say that”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$2.01 close$1.92
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish