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UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · breakdown

UFC 300 Pereira vs Hill | The Locker Room Talk Pod | UFC 300 Picks & Predictions

PR Pub Sports Radio57% hit
27 months ago 4W–2L · +5.2u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
CB Cody Brundage v Bo Nickal PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I think Bo Nickal could the only way to get value on it is his first round knockout prop it's at plus 210 um looking at the odds for the different method of Victories I feel like The Knockout prop isn't priced accordingly to the rest of the market because him to win by submission is basically even odds at minus 115 and The Knockout Props Plus 155 but but his round one knockout prop is 200 or more and the round one sub is damn near even odds so I I feel like you either play the fight to end by submission and get the Cody Brundage upside as well or you try to gamble and get Bo Nickal round one by n because I mean we all know how [ __ ] Cody Brundage fights he's gonna pull Guillotine um if he pulls Guillotine when b nickel tries to take him down he he's going to get top position and at that point anything is possible if you have top position and advantageous position I feel like you could definitely get him out of there damage on top”
Moneyline since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$12.00 close$13.00
Brundage’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.10
BN Bo Nickal v Cody Brundage MONEYLINE WON
“I'm playing B nickl inside the distance a lot of people's going to be going with that first round finish”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.07 close$1.07
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
MR Marina Rodriguez v Jéssica Andrade MONEYLINE LOST
“going with Marina Rodriguez in there I think her reach is going to be a little bit too much I can see her using her footwork to uh stay on the outskirts of the cage uh you know uh we seen Jessica and dve sometimes looking a little bit off when she can't connect with those short hooks you know pouncing around dancing around she's not in rhythm she's not engaged the fight all the way I started off this week thinking that Andra was the spot Andra the spot I'm not mad at it minus one 30 she does have ways to win where takedowns and stuff but I just got to go with what I've been seeing as of late remember man it was just like two fights ago everybody was throwing Jessica and out the window saying that she's done she should be cut from the UFC because she's fighting multiple times and losing to everybody right so I could just see a path in the victory to where Marina Rodriguez goes out here and surprises people um it was one of my dark horses in the women's division a long time ago before the Tracy Cortez Casey o'neals so I'm going go ahead and go back to my gut and you know they got they got this far right now on this biggest card I think Marina Rodriguez wins by decision”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.25
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
KH Kayla Harrison v Holly Holm PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“Kayla Harrison's gonna finish Holly Holmes and she's gonna make a she theya ain't pay Kayla Harrison on UFC 300 to buy her out from her pfl contract for her to win a [ __ ] decision I think she's gonna get this submission in the later rounds round two3 sub Kayla Harrison plus 650 man”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
Harrison’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $7.50
BG Bobby Green v Jim Miller MONEYLINE WON
“I actually think Bobby Green's live in this spot um you know I actually bet him at a minus 170 when he did come out I parlayed him with one other fighter on here uh he didn't look good in his last fight out against Jaylen Turner but this is the thing the way that he got finished is different from getting just chinned and knocked out you know he he got knocked out and was just you know taking more damage once he was asleep and stuff off the canvas that one doesn't get me the same as somebody just getting knocked out in the chin and hitting the floor and being knocked out like you know like Johnny like Jamal Hill did Johnny Walker you know so I don't think that that knockout is gonna be too much uh into this fight jimiller does have a pack the victory he can use those leg kicks though if he's able to use those leg kicks it might you know open up some some something for him but I think Bobby Green's deide in here I like him to get it done in third round of decision uh but yeah I think Bobby green is as real as it gets and let's go ahead and get it”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.59 close$1.59
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
ZW Zhang Weili v Yan Xiaonan MONEYLINE WON
“I gotta go with Al Jermain Sterling in this one man hearing him talking media he said hey man you're getting the back the Funk Master Flex y'all don't remember but I do him against Hannah barrer I was actually at that fight yo”
Line since pick
no market data captured for this fight