UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JF
Josh Fremd
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
LOST
Josh Fremd
v Andre Petroski
MONEYLINE
LOST
“we are going to stick with what shows to be profitable”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.96
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
DB
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Montel Jackson
MONEYLINE
LOST
Da'Mon Blackshear
v Montel Jackson
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model favors Montel here and given that his only two losses have come to Brett JNS and Ricky Simone we agree that this is a good play”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.32
→
close$2.33
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
LS
Luana Santos
v Mariya Agapova
MONEYLINE
WON
Luana Santos
v Mariya Agapova
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model sees Luana Santos as a slight favorite here which is enough to place a bit”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.29
→
close$1.27
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
FK
Fatima Kline
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
MONEYLINE
LOST
Fatima Kline
v Jasmine Jasudavicius
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the bookmakers still have her as a favorite”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.96
→
close$2.09
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
CJ
Charles Johnson
v Joshua Van
MONEYLINE
WON
Charles Johnson
v Joshua Van
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model believes that the books have him overvalued but the data says to make the BET”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$2.90
→
close$3.15
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
CR
Christian Rodriguez
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Christian Rodriguez
v Julian Erosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model sees youth beating experience this time and has picked Christian Rodriguez to get the victory”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
GB
Gabriel Bonfim
v Ange Loosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Gabriel Bonfim
v Ange Loosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“everybody thinks that Bon Fame will bounce back in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.32
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JS
Jean Silva
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON
Jean Silva
v Drew Dober
MONEYLINE
WON
“both The Bookies and the model have this very close to will pick him just slightly favoring Jean Jean Silva”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.92
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
SP
Santiago Ponzinibbio
v Muslim Salikhov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Santiago Ponzinibbio
v Muslim Salikhov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“ponzani nibio is quite a large favorite at the books and the model thinks this is a pick them again we are collecting data to see if bets like these show signs of being profitable”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.58
→
close$1.57
entry: Marathon Bet · best in any region at publish
RN
Rose Namajunas
v Tracy Cortez
MONEYLINE
WON
Rose Namajunas
v Tracy Cortez
MONEYLINE
WON
“even the model likes Rose Namajunas in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
CB
Cody Brundage
v Abdul Razak Alhassan
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Cody Brundage
v Abdul Razak Alhassan
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“the model sees value and Cody Brundage here and it seems like he'll only need to survive the early onslaught of Abdul Abdul Razak Alhassan Alhassan to get the win”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.45
→
now$2.55
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish