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UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · breakdown

UFC St. Louis: Lewis vs Nascimento Predictions & Breakdown

FP Fight Productions65% hit
26 months ago 5W–3L · +2.2u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
VH Veronica Hardy v JJ Aldrich MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to lead slightly towards Veronica Hardy here she's she just looked very impressive in her last two fights and I also think she just has a little bit more finishing upside than JJ Aldrich so I think she can win a decision also think she could potentially find a finish whether that's knockout or submission I don't know”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.74 close$1.79
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AC Alex Caceres v Sean Woodson PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think Kevin jet gets it done by decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV −9%
◆ entry$2.68 close$2.93
Caceres’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CJ Charles Johnson v Jake Hadley MONEYLINE WON
“I'm actually going to go with the underdog here Charles Johnson I think he's going to be the bigger Fighter the rangier guy I think he's just going to put more volume out there and I don't know if Jake Hadley is going to be able to consistently hurt him to kind of overcome that volume disadvantage”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$2.48 close$2.31
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
TW Trey Waters v Billy Goff PROP · DECISION WON
“I'm going to go with Trey Waters um by decision here”
Moneyline since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.71 close$1.62
Waters’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CH Chase Hooper v Viacheslav Borshchev PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going to go with Tabitha richichi by a close decision here”
Moneyline since pick CLV +16%
◆ entry$2.60 close$2.25
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
ER Esteban Ribovics v Terrance McKinney PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going to go with estaba n reck's round two knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.59 close$1.66
Ribovics’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JB Joaquin Buckley v Nursulton Ruziboev PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to lean towards Joaquin Buckley I would not be shocked if ruse boy have won this but I'm going to go with a Joaquin Buckley round three knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.78
Buckley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DL Derrick Lewis v Rodrigo Nascimento PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I'm going with Derrick Lewis round one knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.70 close$1.67
Lewis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted