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Uncle Weezy
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez · breakdown

Ask Weezy: UFC 290 Volkanovski vs Rodriguez

UW Uncle Weezy57% hit
36 months ago 4W–5L · +2.2u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DH Dan Hooker v Jalin Turner MONEYLINE WON
“if you like Jalin Turner it's kind of hard to like him at minus 250 against a a veteran that's well tested like Dan Hooker”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$3.40 close$3.45
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BN Bo Nickal v Val Woodburn MONEYLINE WON
“Bo Nickal like minus 2500. so we're gonna have to get creative we don't want to be that square that's putting together a four-legged parlay at minus 150 and then wondering why it didn't hit at the end of the night”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.05 close$1.05
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
AV Alexander Volkanovski v Yair Rodríguez PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I think that uh he's going to find a way to finish this fight and if he doesn't I think that um Yair Rodríguez with his you know flashy striking can find a way to get this going so yeah we're gonna do less than 22 and a half minute fight time for for Volk”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.29
Volkanovski’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
YJ Yazmin Jauregui v Denise Gomes PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“voger Sports channel thinking Yazmin Jauregui TKO and JDM round one two KO I like both of those spots I think they're both really uh sharp spots Yazmin Jauregui is much better than this girl Denise Gomes um and uh she's very durable as well she's tough she's got that dog in her just like Denise does so I think it's going to be a really good fight but I think the skill level between these two is going to become very evident very quick Yazmin Jauregui is much faster she's got much better footwork and um and she uses her length well and she and she's always countering that's what's great about Yazmin Jaureguie is that when you start stepping into her range something's always going to be coming back at you with bad intentions so I do like Yazmin Jauregui TKO”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.28 close$1.28
Jauregui’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VW Val Woodburn v Bo Nickal MONEYLINE LOST
“Val Val Woodburn is actually a good play this week because number one you can get them for 6400 and if you start with him at 6400 the rest of your team can have an average salary of 8 700 so like let's say you even throw pantosia in there at 7 500. now you've got 9 000 and an average salary and you can you can go and get guys like Jalin Turner in there you could get um you could get um Vitor Vitor Petrino at nine thousand you could get Robert Whittaker and vulcanovsky you know and I mean you you got you know Turner Vitor Petrino volkanovski Robert Whittaker four guys that probably win pantosia even if he loses he can get you 25 minutes and maybe score you 75 points and then you punt with wood burn and guess what if if Bo Nickal goes out there and slips on a banana peel or some [ __ ] Val Woodburn is definitely [ __ ] optimal if he wins that fight”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$14.00 close$14.00
entry: Barstool · best in any region at publish
DP Dricus du Plessis v Robert Whittaker PROP · DECISION LOST
“duplessy by Patty pimlic decision this week calling it now arasania versus Dricus du Plessis sells way more than Robert Whittaker 3. hey we know that the UFC is a for-profit corporation and we know that these judges are corrupt and or incompetent I tend to lean towards corruption more than I do incompetence you know when somebody gives a horseshit scorecard and you see them right there next week at you know at cage side that and they flew him halfway across the country to be there you know that you're seeing corruption in in the front row so it's always good to ask yourself especially if you do think a fight is going to decision who does the who does the UFC need to win because Robert Robert Whittaker as talented of a kickboxer as he is as starter of a middleweight as he is only losing to Israel out of Sanya over the last 10 years as a middleweight the guy's a top-notch mixed martial artist but does he move the dial and if you're the and if you're the UFC and you feel that he doesn't move the dial but then Dricus du Plessis could you know get all of South Africa watching they might you know you might get that decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$4.20 close$4.00
Plessis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TT Tatsuro Taira v Édgar Cháirez PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“vulgar Sports channel likes Tatsuro Taira sub round two three yeah I kind of think that kairas is really good in round one but when you watch the tape like even though he doesn't look tired in round two or three he doesn't he doesn't look like his Mouse not wide open he doesn't look really slow or look like he wants to get out of there or you know he's putting his hands on his hips but man it's just like after round one the output just wanes so I really kind of feel like Tatsuro Taira's best win condition is this is kind of you know put it on him in in the first and really wear them down and then finish them in the second I I I tend to agree that I think he's more likely to get it done in the second or the third than he is in the first”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.11 close$1.10
Taira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CS Cameron Saaiman v Terrence Mitchell PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Cameron Saaiman by KO is -140 Cameron Saaiman by submission is plus 400 so I I find that strange because usually I'm better online they're going to juice the most likely outcome and then give you a little bit of value on the less likely outcome which in my opinion is submission on this one but um minus 140 I think is a great way to actually play Cameron Saaiman this week um because Cameron Saaiman inside the distance is minus 300. so I feel like Cameron Saaiman by KO because you know uh this kid's got neuro ass legs he's skinny as [ __ ] you know I think that he's gonna get his I think he's gonna get you know knocked out and he doesn't take punches well and Cameron Cameron Saaiman really does prefer to stand and I think he's going to be the much better Striker here so yeah man I I think that Cameron Saaiman by KO would be the way that I would play it”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.20 close$1.20
Saaiman’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.71
JT Jalin Turner v Dan Hooker PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Jalin Turner less than 10 minutes of fight time I think is a pretty good spot too yeah yeah let's do a five um leg play here uh twenty dollars to win 200 it's going to be Jalin Turner less than 10 minutes of fight time”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.38
Turner’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted