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UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
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RD MV Dolidze vs VettoriMain Card · Middleweight CN ES Njokuani vs SantosMain Card · Catchweight AH KH Hernandez vs HolobaughMain Card · Lightweight DB CG Blackshear vs GibsonMain Card · Bantamweight BR DN Ribeiro vs NurgozhayMain Card · Catchweight KV CS Vallejos vs Seung-wooMain Card · Featherweight WC RS Cortes-Acosta vs SpannPreliminary Card · Heavyweight YS AC Su-young vs CunninghamPreliminary Card · Bantamweight CV JM Vera vs MusasaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight SH SL Hughes vs LucianoPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AL DB Lima vs BarezPreliminary Card · Flyweight PC JN Cachoeira vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CJ YD Judice vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BEST PRICE We back Hughes over Luciano · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$2.98 ESPN BET pays above fair $3.15
Where to back Hughes best price · region · EV vs fair $2.98
US ESPN BET $3.15 +6%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.80 -6%
EU Betsson $3.05 +2%
AU PlayUp $2.90 -3%
Consensus50 picks · conf 70/99
Hughes 18
32 Luciano
YDBIZT pick Hughes
How it endsmethod calls · Hughes · crowd line
Submission 1 $26.82
Decision 6 $4.47
None 2 $13.41
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hughes 11-6 VS 6-2-1 Luciano
5'5" height 5'6"
116 lb weight 116 lb
65" reach 65"
34 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 4.1
46% striking accuracy 57%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
56% striking defence 53%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
30% takedown accuracy 67%
60% takedown defence 53%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 2.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market34% vs 32%
Consensus18 of 50 analysts
Sharpest angleHughes by Decision — 6 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Hughes @ $3.15 · fair $2.98 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Sam Hughes VALUE “Sam Hughes is going to be the pick” $2.95
TO TKO: The Kombat Oracle picks Stephanie Luciano “Stephanie Luciano unanimous decision”
MI MikeyMMA picks Stephanie Luciano “I think Stephanie Luciano is going to pass this gatekeeper test”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm going to say that Luciano and the judges scorecards” $1.45
BO Botmfeeder picks Sam Hughes VALUE “we're going with Sam Sam Hughesughes” $3.25
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Sam Hughes VALUE “we got Sam Hughes three units to win 6.05” $2.85
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Sam Hughes VALUE “give me Sam Hughes there” $2.85
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE “acho que a Stephanie Luciano vai falar mais alto acho que ela vence essa luta na decisão”
SM Script MMA picks Sam Hughes VALUE “I'm going Sam Hughes I feel like Sam Hughes can get this one done”
ML Mais que Lutas picks Stephanie Luciano VALUE “a aposta com maior valor esperado é que a luta irá até o fim”
OM Ojae MMA picks Stephanie Luciano “therefore I'm picking Stephanie Luciano to win this fight”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Stephanie Luciano “I'm going to go of Stephanie Luciano”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hughes11-6
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Bannon Submission · R2 Sep '25
W Luciano Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Dudakova Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Jauregui Decision · R3 Feb '24
Luciano6-2-1
W Oliveira Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Hughes Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Alencar Decision · R3 Aug '24