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Prophecy read
Ferreira v Stoltzfus
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ferreira 15-3
VS
16-8 Stoltzfus
5'10"
height
6'0"
184 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
75"
33
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
3.6
50%
striking accuracy
44%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
52%
striking defence
50%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
16%
takedown accuracy
71%
53%
takedown defence
52%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ES
etoft21 sports picks Brunno Ferreira
“I just think Brunno Ferreira Brunno Ferreira with Raul Rosas Jr. and I got that for he does connect I think Dustin Stoltzfus's going to be in trouble”
TP
The City Life Project picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm going with Brunno Ferreira”
TP
The City Life Project picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I'm going with Montana dear Rosa”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“Dustin Stoltzfus is plus 230 he's facing Brunno Ferreira”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“I think Brunno Brunno Ferreira wins this fight”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I'll be taking a chance on the matchup but definitely on the underdog there stus at 6.8k”
KU
Kunath picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“I think he can weather that early storm and put it on him late”
DI
DFS Insights picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“this will be my main Underdog play you know second to to Cody Stamann I think I got a little excited and jumped the gun and said Cody Stamann was my favorite Underdog uh it's actually Dustin Stoltzfus stal”
UP
UCF Podcast picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm personally am picking Brunno Ferreira just based off of the fact that Dustin Stoltzfus hasn't got anything going in his UFC career”
DG
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE
“you've got to take stall first”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Brunno Ferreira
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ferreira15-3
L
Aliskerov
Jun '26
L
Rodrigues
Mar '26
W
Vettori
Dec '25
W
McVey
Jul '25
W
Petrosyan
Mar '25
Stoltzfus16-8
L
Gastelum
Sep '25
L
Ruziboev
May '25
W
Barriault
Nov '24
L
Ferreira
Jun '24
W
Soriano
Dec '23