MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov
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NI JC Imavov vs CannonierMain Card · Middleweight DR DJ Reyes vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight RJ RT Jr. vs TurciosMain Card · Bantamweight BF DS Ferreira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight ZR JM Reese vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight PS MB Soriano vs BaezaMain Card · Welterweight ĽK TM Klein vs MoisésPreliminary Card · Lightweight CP CR Prates vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight BK JB Katona vs ButlerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MR AL Rosa vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DM JC Marcos vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DG EM Gomes vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight TL CS Lapilus vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight PT RS Tomar vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ferreira v Stoltzfus Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus40 picks · conf 62/99
Ferreira 28
12 Stoltzfus
MWPPFJ pick Ferreira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ferreira 15-3 VS 16-8 Stoltzfus
5'10" height 6'0"
184 lb weight 185 lb
72" reach 75"
33 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 3.6
50% striking accuracy 44%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.5
52% striking defence 50%
0.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
16% takedown accuracy 71%
53% takedown defence 52%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE “I got Brunno Ferreira first round knockout easy” $1.37
ES etoft21 sports picks Brunno Ferreira “I just think Brunno Ferreira Brunno Ferreira with Raul Rosas Jr. and I got that for he does connect I think Dustin Stoltzfus's going to be in trouble”
TP The City Life Project picks Brunno Ferreira “I'm going with Brunno Ferreira”
TP The City Life Project picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “I'm going with Montana dear Rosa”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “Dustin Stoltzfus is plus 230 he's facing Brunno Ferreira”
WP We Want Picks picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE “I think Brunno Brunno Ferreira wins this fight”
MN Mayo Media Network picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “I'll be taking a chance on the matchup but definitely on the underdog there stus at 6.8k”
KU Kunath picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “I think he can weather that early storm and put it on him late”
DI DFS Insights picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “this will be my main Underdog play you know second to to Cody Stamann I think I got a little excited and jumped the gun and said Cody Stamann was my favorite Underdog uh it's actually Dustin Stoltzfus stal”
UP UCF Podcast picks Brunno Ferreira “I'm personally am picking Brunno Ferreira just based off of the fact that Dustin Stoltzfus hasn't got anything going in his UFC career”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Dustin Stoltzfus VALUE “you've got to take stall first”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Brunno Ferreira
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ferreira15-3
L Aliskerov Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Vettori Decision · R3 Dec '25
W McVey Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Petrosyan Submission · R2 Mar '25
Stoltzfus16-8
L Gastelum Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '25
W Barriault KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Soriano Submission · R2 Dec '23