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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nurmagomedov v Almakhan
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 19-1
VS
12-3 Almakhan
5'8"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
69"
reach
68"
30
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
0.2
63%
striking accuracy
18%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
63%
striking defence
30%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
50%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
0%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“you can't pick anybody to beat somebody like Umar nag medov”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“you can't pick anybody to beat somebody like Umar nag medov”
TS
The Jay All Day NFL Show picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“umar's going to win and Umar Nurmagomedov is going to win”
The Jay All Day NFL Show picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“umar's going to win and Umar Nurmagomedov is going to win”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm going to pick Umar nagam medov”
Prime Time Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm going to pick Umar nagam medov”
BM
Broke Bets MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan
“we got Bekzat Almakhan beating Loik Radzhabov I just think that uh so going do his touch and move style and Loik Radzhabov other than you know looking Russian I know he's from Tajikistan or I believe he is um for the most part doesn't have I think all the talent especially in the wrestling department and His Hands don't very look very fluid”
Broke Bets MMA picks Bekzat Almakhan
“we got Bekzat Almakhan beating Loik Radzhabov I just think that uh so going do his touch and move style and Loik Radzhabov other than you know looking Russian I know he's from Tajikistan or I believe he is um for the most part doesn't have I think all the talent especially in the wrestling department and His Hands don't very look very fluid”
IP
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Umar is just he's gonna be too good”
It's Time - UFC Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Umar is just he's gonna be too good”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Bekzat Almakhan
“this guy's a debut Tom best Cott alacon alacon had some stuff come out yesterday that is very interesting we've had had fighters in the UFC in the past who have had fraudulent records”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Bekzat Almakhan
“this guy's a debut Tom best Cott alacon alacon had some stuff come out yesterday that is very interesting we've had had fighters in the UFC in the past who have had fraudulent records”
PP
Parlay Princes picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I got Umar Nurmagomedov what's he at Umar Nurmagomedov is at Umar Nurmagomedov he's at negative 1300 yeah pretty bad but honestly I think he doesn't uh it doesn't go to the distance K submission”
$1.08
Parlay Princes picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I got Umar Nurmagomedov what's he at Umar Nurmagomedov is at Umar Nurmagomedov he's at negative 1300 yeah pretty bad but honestly I think he doesn't uh it doesn't go to the distance K submission”
$1.08
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think 70% um Umar Nurmagomedov T Umar Nurmagomedov takes this one”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think 70% um Umar Nurmagomedov T Umar Nurmagomedov takes this one”
EB
ESPN BET picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to use that wrestling at a plus 140”
$2.40
ESPN BET picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to use that wrestling at a plus 140”
$2.40
WP
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I don't think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to lose this fight I do think he can go long”
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I don't think Umar Nurmagomedov is going to lose this fight I do think he can go long”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov19-1
W
Figueiredo
Jan '26
W
Bautista
Oct '25
L
Dvalishvili
Jan '25
W
Sandhagen
Aug '24
W
Almakhan
Mar '24
Almakhan12-3
L
Matsumoto
Jun '26
L
Topuria
Nov '25
W
Katona
May '25
L
Nurmagomedov
Mar '24