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UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gamrot v Fiziev Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus52 picks · conf 70/99
Gamrot 17
35 Fiziev
IDFMUW pick Gamrot
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gamrot 26-4 VS 13-5 Fiziev
5'10" height 5'8"
156 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 71"
35 age 33
Southpaw stance Switch
4.9 strikes landed / min 4.9
55% striking accuracy 51%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
68% striking defence 49%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
44% takedown accuracy 40%
89% takedown defence 89%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “if I must pick a side I would go Rafael Fiziev Fiziev”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “I gotta go with Zaya for this one cut and dry KO”
PR Premium-Picks picks Rafael Fiziev “I do think physique can win this fight” $1.62
TB Totally Blitzed picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “I do like fizzy in this one” $1.67
FA FanSwipr picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “I'm gonna play a safe Rafael Fiziev”
KA Knuckle Sandwich with Brandon Anderson picks Rafael Fiziev “so my pick for the EVENT_DETAILS in this weekend's EVENT_DETAILS is half azeeve over Mateusz Gamrot”
TH TheGreyFaction picks Mateusz Gamrot “we've got sixth ringed Rafael Fiziev taking on sevens right Mateusz Gamrot”
CO Covers picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “give me Rafael Fiziev here and I think being able to get him at around -155 is good value” $1.65
AO Andrew Osantowski picks Mateusz Gamrot VALUE “I'm feeling more confident as the week goes on about Mateusz Gamrot I really do like Mateusz Gamrot it's a it's kind of like a Buy Low spot on them people aren't high on him after his after he eats out a decision over Jalen Turner so that's why people are kind of on the guy you know what I'm saying he got dropped in his last few fights but he recovers Rafael Fiziev he's coming off a split decision lost to just engage him we know Gage he's getting the next title shot um between the winner of makichev and aloe vera so you know people are looking at it it's not as man I'm high and Rafael Fiziev man I mean he knocked out those annuals and that was a fight that I thought dos anos had a pretty good chance in but um and I thought it was kind of 2-2 going into the fifth but um of that flight of Rafael Fiziev if I ended up getting dosanos out of there but yeah I mean this is Rafael Fiziev wants to keep it standing Mateusz Gamrot wants to keep her wrestling and I just think the value is on the on the wrestler here in Mateusz Gamrot”
BM Blank Expression MMA picks Mateusz Gamrot “I can see him just wearing on Rafael Fiziev over five rounds and getting the win that way”
BM Blank Expression MMA picks Rafael Fiziev “what I actually think will happen is it will be a close fight a matter of damage versus control and damage by the rules is more important plus with that takedown defense I reckon it will stay on the feet more so than not”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rafael Fiziev “I'm definitely single bedding Rafael Fiziev here I do think he's the better ... you got Rafael Fiziev I got Rafael Fiziev at the event you both got Rafael Fiziev”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gamrot26-4
W Ribovics Submission · R2 Apr '26
L Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
W Klein Decision · R3 May '25
L Hooker Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Anjos Decision · R3 Mar '24
Fiziev13-5
W Torres KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Bahamondes Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Gaethje Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Gamrot KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23