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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lisboa v Oliveira Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Lisboa 15
7 Oliveira
HPAJ1T pick Lisboa
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lisboa 7-3 VS 7-3-1 Oliveira
5'7" height 5'5"
135 lb weight 115 lb
67" reach 65"
35 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 2.7
54% striking accuracy 42%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
68% striking defence 61%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
60% takedown accuracy 38%
87% takedown defence 53%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TS The Fight Week Show picks Tainara Lisboa VALUE “I'm going to be going with T-Rex on here um to T-Rex you next NZ”
TM The MMA Minute picks Tainara Lisboa VALUE “there is a massive size advantage on the Tainara Lisboa side and I think she'll use her range here to stay on the outside or in the grappling”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Ravena Oliveira “if I had to play a side of the fight I guess I would go with Ravena Oliveira”
AS AnyAction SportsCast picks Tainara Lisboa “give me Tainara Lisboa to win”
TM The MMA Minute picks Tainara Lisboa “I think Tainara Lisboa had a very strong debut”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Tainara Lisboa VALUE “I do really like Tainara Tainara LisTainara Lisboa here”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Tainara Lisboa “I'm going to go with Tainara Lisboa here I think she's far more complete she's the better Striker she shows better Tech technique and more crisp striking even though Ravena Oliveira comes from her striking background as well and I think lisbo is far far more ahead in terms of her grappling improvements than what Ravena Oliveira has been making as of late minus 315 a little bit wide to trust somebody so early in their UFC career but I feel like she has all the advantages in this matchup and should still be able to go out there and get the win here possibly even by submission” $1.32
PP Pure Picks picks Ravena Oliveira “pick is Lisboa” $3.60
HB Half The Battle picks Tainara Lisboa “I'll pick her for that reason” $1.32
1M 138 MMA picks Tainara Lisboa “I think in this matchup Tainara Lisboaerrance McKinney mckinn is gonna get it done though”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Tainara Lisboa “but I'm siding with tanera leboa mainly because I think her game is cleaner I think her striking is cleaner I think she can be more effective she's a good counter puncher she moves well and I think that's going to prepare her well for Ravina oliva's style of striking um boa is also more intentional with looking to land takedowns so if the Striking does get sticky I feel like she can resort to that ultimately you are looking at two unproven fighters so anything can happen but getting a win in her debut just five months ago I think that is a meaningful Advantage for tinera laboa and I think that's going to make me side with her”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Tainara Lisboa “give me Lisboa give me her physicality give me her straighter shots in the middle and I do think she wins this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lisboa7-3
L Croden KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Santos Submission · R2 May '25
W Oliveira Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Clark Submission · R3 May '23
Oliveira7-3-1
L Dyer KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Luciano Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Lisboa Decision · R3 Oct '23