MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Choose a fight to analyse
AG VS Grasso vs ShevchenkoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight JM KH Maddalena vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight RJ TM Jr. vs MitchellMain Card · Bantamweight DZ CG Zellhuber vs GiagosMain Card · Lightweight KN FP Nelson vs PadillaMain Card · Featherweight LG ER Godinez vs ReedPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RK JF Kopylov vs FremdPreliminary Card · Middleweight EC DL Chairez vs LacerdaPreliminary Card · Flyweight TC JJ Cortez vs JasudaviciusPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight CC AR Campbell vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Lightweight JK MM Knutsson vs MannPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Chairez v Lacerda Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus26 picks · conf 50/99
Chairez 17
9 Lacerda
HLBMTT pick Chairez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Chairez 11-6 VS 11-6 Lacerda
— height 5'6"
— weight 125 lb
— reach 70"
30 age 30
Orthodox stance Switch
3.5 strikes landed / min 4.0
45% striking accuracy 45%
5.2 strikes absorbed / min 8.3
42% striking defence 34%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
0% takedown accuracy 50%
33% takedown defence 0%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “expect him to get the finish here”
BF Bobby Bets Fights picks Edgar Chairez “I'm gonna go with Edgar Cyrus” $1.48
FI FightBookMMA picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “Edgar Chairez is going to [ __ ] destroy Daniel Lacerda and if Daniel Lacerda loses it's over dude he's getting the pink slip”
FI FightBookMMA picks Daniel Lacerda “I'm picking him just not because he's a you know a Mexican or anything but um I think he's got a chance I think well okay well yeah I'm gonna pick him very biased bro” $1.40
KU Kunath picks Daniel Lacerda VALUE “I do think that if he is able to sustain that consistently through a round into the second round if possible then he wins this fight”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “Edgar Chairez minus 250” $1.40
WP We Want Picks picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “reality is Edgar Chairez shares is tough should be able to weather the storm and then get his own finish so I you know Edgar Chairez Chairez at 8 700 as much as I hate it probably ends up being worth it” $88.00
WP We Want Picks picks Daniel Lacerda “I do things in Daniel Lacerda Zell Huber wins this fight probably gonna end up being worth the money but probably not”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Edgar Chairez “I will pick ches in the long run”
WP We Want Picks picks Daniel Lacerda VALUE “Daniel Lacerda Lacerda doesn't leave the first round more often than he does”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “I like anchor Charles quite a bit uh Da Silva slash desert whatever you want to call him he's going to be very dangerous and early on but you know early on is about you know the you know dangerous he's going to be for a couple minutes and then he's gonna slow down so uh we'll talk about him in a little bit I think he's interesting just because he has that first round upside but if he doesn't finish Edgar Chairez in the first couple minutes I think he's in trouble there” $88.00
TO The Golden Octagon picks Edgar Chairez VALUE “I think Edgar Chairez should be able to get it done by submission” $1.50
Recent form last five, most recent first
Chairez11-6
W Lacerda Submission · R1 Feb '24
Lacerda11-6
L Chairez Submission · R1 Feb '24
L Altamirano KO/TKO · R1 Aug '22
L Figueiredo Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Molina KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21