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UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Strickland v Adesanya Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus92 picks · conf 82/99
Strickland 27
65 Adesanya
XSTMJL pick Strickland
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Strickland 30-7 VS 24-5 Adesanya
6'1" height 6'4"
185 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 80"
35 age 36
Orthodox stance Switch
5.8 strikes landed / min 4.0
47% striking accuracy 50%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
58% striking defence 57%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
40% takedown accuracy 33%
78% takedown defence 81%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Israel Adesanya “I got out of sign you wrong”
LM Leftlane MMA picks Israel Adesanya “I picked Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya Adesanya obviously as did everyone”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE “I'll be picking Israel Adesanya to win”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I see the longer it goes Sean Strickland throwing caution to the wind”
MM Mmajessic picks Israel Adesanya VALUE “Israel Adesanya to secure a knockout victory against John Sean Strickland”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Israel Adesanya “I'm gonna pick Israel Adesanya but I perfect fight for Israel Adesanya so I'll reluctantly pick Israel Adesanya”
TS The Fight Week Show picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I'm gonna go for a shocker a shocking one a big casket open you know what I I can't see it being a quick you know it's right as soon as guys I run through him in the first minute and if he doesn't if he doesn't do palacosta like have it in the bag”
RW Ryan The Champutee Wallace picks Sean Strickland VALUE “there's precedent for it ... can pay big dividends there's precedent in this sport for a guy like Sean Strickland who has no chance of completely shocking the world and upsetting a dominant Champion NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 comes to mind you know NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 is getting worked gotta got an amazing head kick stop there's precedent for it”
CP Couch Warrior Podcast picks Israel Adesanya “I think Israel Adesanya wins this”
SD Skyler Dagley picks Israel Adesanya “it's hard not to pick Israel Adesanya in this fight”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Israel Adesanya “I think we have to very heavily favor Israel Adesanya to win the fight” $1.15
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Sean Strickland VALUE “I'm on Sean Sean Strickland he's plus 490 at FanDuel” $5.90
Recent form last five, most recent first
Strickland30-7
W Chimaev Decision · R5 May '26
W Hernandez KO/TKO · R3 Feb '26
L Plessis Decision · R5 Feb '25
W Costa Decision · R5 Jun '24
L Plessis Decision · R5 Jan '24
Adesanya24-5
L Pyfer KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
L Imavov KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
L Plessis Submission · R4 Aug '24
L Strickland Decision · R5 Sep '23
W Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Apr '23