MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Choose a fight to analyse
SS AM Strickland vs MagomedovMain Card · Middleweight GD DI Dawson vs IsmagulovMain Card · Lightweight MM MG Morales vs GriffinMain Card · Welterweight AL MG Lipski vs GattoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BD IB Denis vs BonfimMain Card · Lightweight NR BF Ruziboev vs FerreiraMain Card · Middleweight RF KL Fakhretdinov vs LeePreliminary Card · Welterweight JB WW Brito vs WilsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight KR YS Rosa vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Featherweight EB GK Brener vs KutateladzePreliminary Card · Lightweight LC IP Carolina vs PetrovićPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AR BI Romanov vs IvanovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brener v Kutateladze Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Brener 3
22 Kutateladze
PFA pick Brener
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brener 16-5 VS 13-4 Kutateladze
5'10" height 5'11"
155 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 72"
28 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 4.0
47% striking accuracy 45%
5.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
48% striking defence 57%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
23% takedown accuracy 20%
76% takedown defence 79%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Elves Brener “Grom honestly should win this fight absolutely trained with hamzad chimeev”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Guram Kutateladze “Guram Kutateladze gotta go with that guy”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Guram Kutateladze VALUE “give me Guram Kutateladze dominant win I think he puts on a bit of a showcase performance in this fight right here” $1.17
WP We Want Picks picks Guram Kutateladze “I think Guram Kutateladze is a guarantee to win this fight”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Guram Kutateladze “most confident fighter is Joanderson Brito Ismael Bonfim Brunno Ferreira Michael Morales Guram Kutateladze Damir Ismagulov Karol Rosa Melissa Gatto Abusupiyan Magomedov Rinat Fakhretdinov Blagoy Ivanov and least confident pick is Luana Carolina”
AS AnyAction SportsCast picks Elves Brener VALUE “I'm picking the underdog” $4.00
AS AnyAction SportsCast picks Guram Kutateladze “my pick is guram kutelaji to win this fight via decision” $1.25
HY Hypecheck picks Guram Kutateladze VALUE “gurram is better wherever this fight goes” $1.15
WP We Want Picks picks Guram Kutateladze VALUE “Guram Kutateladze is probably an under as well because I think he wins but I don't think he's Gonna Knock Out Elves Brener per se I think he's gonna beat up elves land a million punches but not get a finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Guram Kutateladze “went with Guram Kutateladze the big favorite no surprise there she knows what's going on in this matchup”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Elves Brener VALUE “ultimately I think he needs to get this fight to the mat to succeed”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Guram Kutateladze VALUE “I would my pick is Guram Kutateladze by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brener16-5
L Ribovics Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Álvarez KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Orolbai Decision · R3 May '24
W Kruschewsky KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Kutateladze KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
Kutateladze13-4
L Fernandes Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Vucenic Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Brener KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
L Ismagulov Decision · R3 Jun '22
W Gamrot Decision · R3 Oct '20