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Keg & Company | A Betting Collective
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev | Full Card Breakdown | Picks & Predictions

KC Keg & Company | A Betting Collective59% hit
28 months ago 1W–8L · -0.7u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AA Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady v Loik Radzhabov PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm gonna go with Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady yeah probably by probably by knockout”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.68
Al-Selwady’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BS Bernardo Sopaj v Vinicius Oliveira MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm taking Bernardo Sopaj um both guys making their debut Ola he is definitely dangerous he throws Wild and he can land and he can finish fights um but what I like about Bernardo Sopaj is he he's a good wrestler he trains with hamzat he seems to be pretty composed”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.15 close$2.15
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
CD Christian Leroy Duncan v Cláudio Ribeiro MONEYLINE WON
“I like Christian Leroy Duncan too I thought because he is dangerous he is explosive I'm not overly impressed with Christian Leroy Duncan uh but the one thing I do like about Christian Leroy Duncan is he does have good forward pressure he could for the first round just hold habo against the cage even if he's not doing a lot just just wear on him wear on the tank”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.34 close$1.34
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
JB Javid Basharat v Aiemann Zahabi PROP · DECISION LOST
“give me BOS rot give me the over uh most likely to BU decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.13 close$1.13
Basharat’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
EA Eryk Anders v Jamie Pickett PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think Eryk Anders runs through him I don't know if you've got any any thoughts on this one but yeah I mean Jamie Pickett is I mean we've seen enough of Jamie pick in the UFC to know that he's he's not UFC level”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
Anders’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SE Steve Erceg v Matt Schnell PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I like Steve Erceg ersag by submission my initial thought before before I started on the tape was this all right so Schnell he's an absolute dog he he actually has good grappling this is a spot where he could get ers and then I watched the tape and I was like all right Steve Erceg actually does have really good striking”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.27 close$1.29
Erceg’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
UN Umar Nurmagomedov v Bekzat Almakhan PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“give me Umar I I'm sure he finishes this fight yeah Umar by sub I'll probably be betting that most likely”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.09 close$1.09
Nurmagomedov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MM Muhammad Mokaev v Alex Perez PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'm gonna pick Muhammad Mokaev probably round three decision probably sub he gets it done”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.29 close$1.31
Mokaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TP Tyson Pedro v Vitor Petrino PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“give me patrino which uh we're we're motoring through this one this is probably gonna be our shortest show of the year that brings us to our main event we've got Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik taking on Shamil Gaziev what are your thoughts on this one uh I like Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik I mean but I don't know he's he's I bet on him before and he's let me down where he just he'll sit there and he'll just he'll stare at you and not throw anything and you're like dude throw a freaking punch what are you doing you're just staring them down and there's cases where it's like Alisa overing boom bang one done you know Chris dacas went in there just ran right through him you know um yeah usually these are the guys that Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik just puts puts puts them out um yeah and then gaziev I don't know man this I don't know about gazz I think he's he's got good wrestling but I question his cardio if it gets out of the first round I think you know and then roen struck he hasn't fought in a while and he did say in his in his interview that he has been working on his grappling so I don't know what you can do in the year and a half you've been gone or what was it like a year he's been gone yeah he's been off for a little over a year yeah yeah so I don't know how much you can work on in that time but I mean you got that death that guy's always got that death touch so it's always going to be there you know and yeah I don't really see Gaz have knocking him out I could see him taking him down and maybe submitting him or maybe maybe ground him pound on the ground where the referee jumps in and stops it but uh yeah I'm go dog here want to go Rosen struck by knockout I I I wanted to go Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik as well um and I've looked at the numbers the the underdog in five round fights this year um was six and two I believe The Underdogs have been cashing like crazy in five round fights the only problem is and I I know Shamil Shamil Gaziev doesn't come out and look for takedowns right off the bat he is actually a decent Striker but but man if he gets Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik down I think he can just pound him out um so my official pick is going to be gaziev um but if we get into the second third round I'm gonna be looking at live bet Rosen stro because I don't think GV is gonna be able to hold up especially over five rounds there's no way um so I like GV I think he's front loaded he he gets an early finish um if not I'll be I'll be looking at Rosen stru to to get because that power Rosen struck's power is no joke he's dropping guys with Jabs like putting him out yeah he's got great power he's and he's he's a good Striker uh but man his take little low volume so so bad yeah but he's getting taken down by Curtis blades Alexander volov Jon Almeida no I I I hear you I mean you know what I mean yeah no I definitely that trust me I that's what I was looking at but I just think that the takedown that Almeida took him down with was just so bad uh I just I just couldn't do it I just couldn't pull the trigger and the numbers would say just back to dog here but I'm Gonna Roll gaziev I'm gonna probably bet him first round and then I I don't think I'm gonna tie him you know I'm not GNA have my whole night ratting on him and I think I if Rosen stro gets into the second and third rounds I'll be on Jairzinho Jairzinho Rozenstruik to to win this fight for sure but officially GV is my pick”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.00 close$4.00
Pedro’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted