UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · breakdown
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TV
Tamires Vidal
v Montserrat Rendon
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Tamires Vidal
v Montserrat Rendon
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going with Tamires Vidal probably by like TKO honestly she's a lot younger she's a lot more power in her hands she's very aggressive I think she gets it done”
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Vidal’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MI
Mizuki Inoue
v Hannah Goldy
MONEYLINE
WON
Mizuki Inoue
v Hannah Goldy
MONEYLINE
WON
“go with Mizuki Inoue Mizuki Inoue hasn't fought in a while though she has had kind of a big layoff but she's relatively young so I think maybe there's some gains made to her game”
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MU
Mohammed Usman
v Jake Collier
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Mohammed Usman
v Jake Collier
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going with Mohammed Usman but I don't hate I don't hate Jake Collier as a dog um I'm going with Mohammed Usman because you know he had a boring fight with Junior tapa but I think Junior top is actually a really good Striker I think he's definitely like if Junior tough and Jake Collier fought Junior toppa would finish him I think pretty clearly uh so I like that Mohammed Usman fought in my opinion a better Striker than Jay Collier a more athletic guy uh Jake Collier used to fight at middleweight like he doesn't belong at heavyweight in my opinion um he's a lot smaller I guarantee you he's going to be a lot weaker than Mohammed Usman and Jake Collier normally has about five minutes of cardio before it is it's shocked for him uh and I think he's gonna have a hard time if Mohammed Usman pushes a heavy wrestling Pace on him which I suspect he's going to do um and Mohammed Usman Usman is capable enough on the feet to where I don't think he's going to get completely destroyed by Jake Collier he's got big Power and he's he's decently responsible with his hands defensively I think he can I think he can win this fight by honestly he might does Mohammed Usman Usman have any submission wins he has two he has two submission wins call me crazy but I think Mohammed Usman might get a sub here because I know Jake Collier always melts in fights as they go later I feel like Mohammed Usman I can just see him having Jake Collier flattened out and Jake Collier pretty much is giving up and Mohammed is going for a rude naked choke to just get the fight over with I could see it I really can um yeah I think I might go with Mohammed Usman Usman by submission as weird as that sounds”
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Usman’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JM
Jacob Malkoun
v Cody Brundage
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Jacob Malkoun
v Cody Brundage
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“official prediction Jacob malcoon probably a decision he honestly could get a submission or a TKO though but Jacob Coon's kind of a decision fighter”
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Malkoun’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AF
André Fialho
v Tim Means
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
André Fialho
v Tim Means
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going with André Fialho I think I think I'm going with André Fialho by tkf”
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Fialho’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DA
Dan Argueta
v Miles Johns
PROP · DECISION
Dan Argueta
v Miles Johns
PROP · DECISION
“I'll go with Dan Argueta man he he beat Ronnie Lawrence that's all I gotta say really uh there was some weird debauchery some hooliganism going on with that uh that submission win uh I think it I think it was Keith Peterson that did that shout out Keith Peterson for ruining that fight but Dan Argueta definitely submitted Ronnie Lawrence um and I think Dan Argueta is pretty good man in his debut he gets Damon Jackson a guy who's a really tricky finisher a guy who's been around for a very long time been in there with good fighters in his debut he survives the absolute worst positions with Damon Jackson where he's at his absolute best for a full 15 minutes without even really any look of concern or worry on his face the entire time he lost that fight but he displayed an innate ability to not get finished by a guy who's kind of a finisher so it kind of impressed me and then he goes out there has a good performance against Ronnie Lawrence before that he beats a seven and one guy Nick Aguirre I just think I think Dan Argueta is actually pretty good miles John's is good he's got good power but he he's he throws very wildly he's not very clean with his striking and he kind of gases a little bit and I think Dan Argueta can take advantage of that I do I think Dan Argueta grinds out miles John's to a decision”
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Argueta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CJ
Charles Jourdain
v Ricardo Ramos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Charles Jourdain
v Ricardo Ramos
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I am going with Charles Jourdain I'm gonna go with Charles Jourdain by TKO I think I think he's going to get him out of there maybe like a late second round”
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Jourdain’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BB
Bryan Battle
v AJ Fletcher
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Bryan Battle
v AJ Fletcher
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going with Bryan Battle kind of for the similar reasons I picked Charles Jordan AJ Fletcher was kind of like a Ricardo Ramos to me not quite as insane and crazy but if AJ Fletcher starts to kind of feel like he can't get off or he's like falling behind in a fight he starts to like spurt out and kind of get a little crazy ah we saw that with Gabe green and brought him battles last fight you don't want to kind of do that with Bryan Battle because he will bite down on his mouthpiece and he will throw a shot in the pocket and he has the power to put a lot of guys at welterweight out another thing that I think is important for this is that Bryan Battle has a 10 inch reach advantage over AJ Fletcher so if they get into a heated exchange where they're both throwing wild shots Brian battle is going to be on the outside of a lot of AJ Fletcher's shots especially if he's throwing hooks because Brian battle is not going to be in a range of those AJ Fletcher is going to have to throw straight shots if he wants to if he wants to land on Bryan Battle I just don't think he's going to do that and I don't think he's going to be able to land with very much efficiency on Brian battle just because he's so much bigger and longer I think Bryan Battle's got better power I think his striking is better I think his grappling defense is fine AJ Fletcher could be more inclined to to shoot a takedown to try and get him to the ground but I I trust him Brian battle defensively the only guy who's really been able to manhandle Brian battle on the ground was renat for cretinov and uh that guy's a [ __ ] freak so I I can't look too deeply into that I'm trusting Bryan Battle I think Brian battle is going to get a TKO win over AJ Fletcher”
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Battle’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MR
Marina Rodriguez
v Michelle Waterson-Gomez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Marina Rodriguez
v Michelle Waterson-Gomez
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going with Marina Rodriguez she's already beat Michelle Waterson like two fights ago Michelle Waterson-Gomez's on a three fight lost streak uh she's 37 and giving up three inches of reach uh I just don't think I don't think she's gonna be the chick who beat her like two or three fights ago uh and citizen Michelle Waterson has not won a fight I don't think anything has changed I think Marina Rodriguez is going to beat Michelle Waterson probably by decision”
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Rodriguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM
Bryce Mitchell
v Dan Ige
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Bryce Mitchell
v Dan Ige
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm going with Bryce Mitchell but I thought the line would be a little bit closer for Dan Ige just because he does pose a pretty significant threat to Bryce on the feet uh but Bryce Mitchell's a much bigger guy at least height wise uh he he's a little bit more rangey with his striking he's not super aggressive so I don't think it's gonna play too much into Dan ige's uh style where he likes to to hit guys coming in on him uh Bryce Mitchell's more more inclined to throw like body kicks from the outside as opposed to just running like a like a Damon Jackson or somebody uh I think the reason we have Bryce Mitchell as a 2-1 favorite is because of his distinct grappling advantage over Dan ige now danike has a striking advantage over Bryce Mitchell but it's not by a a gigantic margin in my opinion the grappling Advantage for Bryce Mitchell is kind of like a mountain compared to Dan ige uh Bryce Mitchell has very lethal Jiu Jitsu he's able to get fights to the ground pretty easily uh he I mean he took down Ilia deporia he beat he beat the [ __ ] out of Edson Barboza who I think is a much more dangerous Striker than Danny guy is um and Dan ige was out grappled pretty easily by like the Korean zombie not that the Korean zombie is bad or has bad grappling but like you never really see the Korean zombies be like all right I'm this guy can't get up I'm just gonna hold him down I'm just gonna hold him down and beat him up on the ground you don't see that very often now I believe Dan you guys definitely made grappling gains since that fight and since some of his earlier fights in the UFC and he's gonna know that Bryce Mitchell is going to want to Grapple I just don't know I don't know if he can make enough progress in his grappling game to be able to match Bryce Mitchell in this fight I'm gonna go with Bryce Mitchell I think ah does he finish Dan ige I don't think he does but he could you know what I'm gonna Bryce Mitchell's the first guy to finish Dan Ige I'm going with Bryce Mitchell by submission and like round three”
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Mitchell’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RF
Rafael Fiziev
v Mateusz Gamrot
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Rafael Fiziev
v Mateusz Gamrot
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm picking him to win um I'm a two scam routes good he's very good uh but his striking man scares the [ __ ] out of me when he when he's fighting because a lot of the time he's very open Jalen Turner was catching him with regularity and their fight and I worry that if Jalen Turner is catching you with regularity and you're getting like stumbled dropped hurt by Jalen Turner what is going to happen if half El faziv lands on you uh I think that's Bad News Bears now number two's game right it does have a path to Victory here and that's the chain wrestle and he does that very well he's a great Grappler one of the best in lightweight but he's going to need to do it for five rounds which I'm sure he can do but the first three rounds I think against physiv are going to be an absolute danger zone most of the time because he needs to wear on phys Eve he can't entertain the kickboxing I don't think for very long when Rafael Fiziev is fresh I think it's a I think it's a terrible mistake I think he's going to get hurt on the feet then he's going to be forced to panic wrestle once he is hurt I think that's bad but I can see physiv starting to slow down in rounds four and five kind of like he did against RDA even though we take you out RDA uh in the fifth round he was starting to slow down a little bit but that's because RDA was grinding on him shooting you know 20 takedowns on him yeah you'll start to slow but matus gamra can do that same thing except I think he's a better Grappler than RDA so that that in my opinion is matus's gamroth's path to Victory is to just grind him out in those Championship rounds and look for a finish over a tired Rafael Fiziev but I I feel like physiv's striking is too good and his takedown defense early is too good because he's a short guy he's a big strong guy and he's got good balance and he's really good at digging under hooks to defend takedowns I feel like the first three rounds or so I'm a two scammer is going to be a lot of trouble and I I think Rafael Fizieve can't find a finish in those first three rounds and in hindsight his fight with Justin gaichi which was razor close which you could have given to hapael Rafael Fiziev because round one was physive all day round two was razor thin like it could have gone to either guy that loss and that fight has aged very well considering just in case he just blew up Dustin Poirier two rounds so yeah man I'm going with Rafael fazive I'm gonna go buy like a round two TKO”
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Fiziev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.67