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UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · breakdown

UFC 323 Recap (Yan Did It, Van Get's A Fluke, Talbott Is WAY Better Than I Thought & More)

UF UFCThoughts58% hit
6 months ago 2W–1L · +1.1u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MK Manel Kape v Brandon Royval MONEYLINE WON
“Manel Kape, Grant Dawson on the feet genuinely is a wet fart. Literally was just spamming overhands and body kicks. Manel Kape, he's got a death touch and Grant Dawson's got a baby chin.”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.44 close$1.37
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
LS Luana Santos v Melissa Croden MONEYLINE WON
“Luana Santos, he chins him. But he got out struck that bad in round one. That doesn't even make any sense. NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 looked pretty good. He was leg kicking, defending everything pretty well. NOT_IN_ROSTER_24, you could just tell it was very technique versus power. And all NOT_IN_ROSTER_24 Aimov has is power. NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 is a very technical also powerful athlete with very good technique. Needs to get the weight under control. I don't like how he missed weight again. I think this is again I feel like did he miss fight against NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 which is why everyone was even madder at that more mad that he won that fight. I feel like my is you know I feel like that's been a thing. Who knows? Maybe I'm just completely wrong but I feel like that could be a thing. But great performance. I thought he did very well against NOT_IN_ROSTER_24 IV. thought he won the first two rounds and then round three he just chinned him. So good [expletive] from Luana Santos. UFC 323. Great [expletive] card, you know, even though Pantosia this is this really soured in my opinion the main card. Insane scrap dominant. Insane scrap. All right. Finish finish. All right. Finish. All right. Finish. Finish. Finish. Crazy. Crazy. Michael Morales, too. All right. Um, but yeah, it is what it is. What are you gonna do? Great card pick-wise. Did dog [expletive] Other than that, pretty good. That was UFC 323.”
Line since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.83
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
LS Luana Santos v Melissa Croden PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“Luana Santos, he chins him. But he got out struck that bad in round one. That doesn't even make any sense. NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 looked pretty good. He was leg kicking, defending everything pretty well. NOT_IN_ROSTER_24, you could just tell it was very technique versus power. And all NOT_IN_ROSTER_24 Aimov has is power. NOT_IN_ROSTER_25 is a very technical also powerful athlete with very good technique. Needs to get the weight under control. I don't like how he missed weight again. I think this is again I feel like did he miss fight against NOT_IN_ROSTER_26 which is why everyone was even madder at that more mad that he won that fight. I feel like my is you know I feel like that's been a thing. Who knows? Maybe I'm just completely wrong but I feel like that could be a thing. But great performance. I thought he did very well against NOT_IN_ROSTER_24 IV. thought he won the first two rounds and then round three he just chinned him. So good [expletive] from Luana Santos. UFC 323. Great [expletive] card, you know, even though Pantosia this is this really soured in my opinion the main card. Insane scrap dominant. Insane scrap. All right. Finish finish. All right. Finish. All right. Finish. Finish. Finish. Crazy. Crazy. Michael Morales, too. All right. Um, but yeah, it is what it is. What are you gonna do? Great card pick-wise. Did dog [expletive] Other than that, pretty good. That was UFC 323.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$1.68 close$1.83
Santos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted