Choose a fight to analyse
BR
MK
Royval vs KapeMain Card · Flyweight
GC
KV
Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
CA
CO
Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
MC
MC
Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
KN
MB
Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight
NM
YA
Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SS
SA
Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MC
LS
Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AF
GP
Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JH
TB
Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KG
LJ
Green vs Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
JB
IT
Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MK
Royval vs KapeMain Card · Flyweight
GC
KV
Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
CA
CO
Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
MC
MC
Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
KN
MB
Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight
NM
YA
Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SS
SA
Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MC
LS
Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AF
GP
Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JH
TB
Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KG
LJ
Green vs Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
JB
IT
Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Santos v Croden
Women'S Bantamweight
Our fair value
$1.83
best price $1.80
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Santos
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.83
US
FanDuel
$1.75
-5%
FanDuel
$1.75
-5%
UK
Betway
$1.80
-2%
Betway
$1.80
-2%
EU
Unibet (SE)
$1.76
-4%
Unibet (SE)
$1.76
-4%
AU
Bet Right
$1.74
-5%
Bet Right
$1.74
-5%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.72
How it endsmethod calls · Santos · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$15.59
Submission
5
$6.23
Decision
10
$3.12
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Croden 7-3
VS
10-2 Santos
5'9"
height
5'6"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
69"
reach
67"
35
age
26
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
4.3
62%
striking accuracy
51%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
54%
striking defence
61%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
66%
takedown accuracy
40%
76%
takedown defence
80%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market55% vs 56%
Consensus83 of 155 analysts
Sharpest angleSantos by Decision — 10 of 17 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WB
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Luana Santos VALUE
“I'm thinking Luana Santos decision”
WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Luana Santos VALUE
“I'm thinking Luana Santos decision”
DR
DRYWALL picks Luana Santos
“I am gonna ride with EVENT_DETAILS. Fight like the crow. I think we get a a crow decision here because she's just tougher.”
DRYWALL picks Luana Santos
“I am gonna ride with EVENT_DETAILS. Fight like the crow. I think we get a a crow decision here because she's just tougher.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Luana Santos
“I'm going to have to go and pick Luana Santos to get this [__] done via decision.”
GLO MMA picks Luana Santos
“I'm going to have to go and pick Luana Santos to get this [__] done via decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Luana Santos
“Give me Luana Santos by either sub or decision.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Luana Santos
“Give me Luana Santos by either sub or decision.”
FI
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Melissa Croden
“I got Melissa, whatever her name is. Uh, Melissa Croden.”
FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Melissa Croden
“I got Melissa, whatever her name is. Uh, Melissa Croden.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Melissa Croden VALUE
“I'm taking NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 here plus 170... I'm taking Melissa Croden.”
etoft21 sports picks Melissa Croden VALUE
“I'm taking NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 here plus 170... I'm taking Melissa Croden.”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Melissa Croden VALUE
“I really like Melissa Croden money line just straight bet.”
$2.40
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Melissa Croden VALUE
“I really like Melissa Croden money line just straight bet.”
$2.40
MR
MMA Randy picks Melissa Croden
“I think Melissa Croden could do the same we're going with Melissa Croden.”
MMA Randy picks Melissa Croden
“I think Melissa Croden could do the same we're going with Melissa Croden.”
KL
KlasickMMA picks Luana Santos
“Cuz Luana Santos is Luana Santos by decision.”
KlasickMMA picks Luana Santos
“Cuz Luana Santos is Luana Santos by decision.”
RM
Round by Round MMA picks Luana Santos
“give me Luana Santos”
Round by Round MMA picks Luana Santos
“give me Luana Santos”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Melissa Croden
“I think I think that Melissa Croden out. Melissa Croden um, in her prime now. three, gets a 2928. I like Melissa Croden ... Um Melissa Croden over”
The Mike Finch Show picks Melissa Croden
“I think I think that Melissa Croden out. Melissa Croden um, in her prime now. three, gets a 2928. I like Melissa Croden ... Um Melissa Croden over”
FF
Frozen Fists picks Melissa Croden
Frozen Fists picks Melissa Croden
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Croden7-3
W
Zheleznyakova
Apr '26
L
Santos
Dec '25
W
Lisboa
Oct '25
Santos10-2
W
Rosa
Jun '26
W
Croden
Dec '25
W
Lisboa
May '25
L
O'Neill
Aug '24
W
Agapova
Jul '24