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UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape
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BR MK Royval vs KapeMain Card · Flyweight GC KV Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight CA CO Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight MC MC Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight KN MB Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight NM YA Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight SS SA Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MC LS Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AF GP Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JH TB Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KG LJ Green vs Jr.Main Card · Catchweight JB IT Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Frye over Pat · Heavyweight Our fair value$2.43 Caesars pays above fair $2.55
Where to back Frye best price · region · EV vs fair $2.43
US Caesars $2.55 +5%
UK William Hill (UK) $2.50 +3%
EU Pinnacle $2.51 +4%
AU BoomBet $2.46 +1%
Consensus133 picks · conf 99/99
Frye 62
71 Pat
KTTTPH pick Frye
How it endsmethod calls · Frye · crowd line
KO/TKO 8 $2.43
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Frye 0-0 VS 6-0 Pat
6'4" height 6'5"
247 lb weight 238 lb
— reach 81"
28 age 32
-- stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min —
— striking accuracy —
— strikes absorbed / min —
— striking defence —
— takedowns / 15 min —
— takedown accuracy —
— takedown defence —
— submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market41% vs 39%
Consensus62 of 133 analysts
Sharpest angleFrye by KO/TKO — 8 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Frye @ $2.55 · fair $2.43 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MU MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks Guilherme Pat “I'm taking Guilherme Pat.”
DR DRYWALL picks Guilherme Pat “I think he knocks him out in the first.”
DR DRYWALL picks Allen Frye “I think he knocks him out in the first.”
GM GLO MMA picks Allen Frye “I'm going to go and pick Allen Frye to get this [__] done via knockout probably in the third round.”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Allen Frye “I'm taking Allen Frye”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Guilherme Pat “I think he's going to win this fight by TKO.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Guilherme Pat “I'm going to go Guilherme Pat” $1.91
RM Round by Round MMA picks Guilherme Pat “I'm just going to go with Guilherme Pat. I give me Guilherme Pat by knockout.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Allen Frye “I got to say my Um Allen Frye over Guilherme Pat.”
TM TREMENDOUS MMA picks Guilherme Pat “I'm going to go with Guilherme Pat by going Guilherme Pat by KO.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Guilherme Pat “it's Guilherme Pat by knockout... So Guilherme Pat by KO”
CV Cage Visonary picks Allen Frye “I definitely could see Allen Frye by knockout”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Frye0-0
L Pat Decision · R3 Dec '25
Pat6-0
L Petersen Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Frye Decision · R3 Dec '25