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BR MK Royval vs KapeMain Card · Flyweight GC KV Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight CA CO Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight MC MC Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight KN MB Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight NM YA Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight SS SA Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MC LS Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AF GP Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JH TB Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KG LJ Green vs Jr.Main Card · Catchweight JB IT Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Gibson Jr. over Green · Catchweight Our fair value$2.58 LeoVegas (SE) pays above fair $2.75
Where to back Gibson Jr. best price · region · EV vs fair $2.58
US Caesars $2.70 +5%
UK Betway $2.62 +2%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $2.75 +6%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.60 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.56
Consensus104 picks · conf 87/99
Green 61
43 Gibson Jr.
DTT MM pick Green
How it endsmethod calls · Gibson Jr. · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $2.58
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Green 34-17-1 VS 9-2 Gibson Jr.
5'10" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 158 lb
71" reach 72"
39 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
6.4 strikes landed / min 1.2
53% striking accuracy 75%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 6.4
62% striking defence 20%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
39% takedown accuracy 0%
74% takedown defence 0%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 36%
Consensus43 of 104 analysts
Sharpest angleGibson Jr. by KO/TKO — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back Gibson Jr. @ $2.75 · fair $2.58 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MU MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks King Green “taking King Green ... King Green this is a lock”
PP Parry Punch picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE “I'm taking Lance Gibson Jr.”
DR DRYWALL picks King Green “I gota go Bobby Green by decision. Gotta go Bobby Green by decision.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE “give me Lance Gibson Jr. as a dog I'm all over Lance Gibson Jr..” $2.80
MR MMA Randy picks Lance Gibson Jr. “by Lance Gibson Jr. I can see it Yeah, Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout.”
KL KlasickMMA picks King Green “I'm going to pick King Green by out So, give me King Green by KO.”
RM Round by Round MMA picks King Green “I'm going to pick King Green”
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Lance Gibson Jr. “I got Lance Gibson Jr. to go”
IM IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Lance Gibson Jr. “I do not trust King Green's King Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. go Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout rounds”
FI Fight_Numerology picks King Green “And King Green is in UFC since 2013 and Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. Lance Gibson Jr. in this matchup.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Lance Gibson Jr. “slight lean Lance Gibson Jr., Lance Gibson Jr. should be pretty choke and Lance Gibson Jr. submissions”
TM TREMENDOUS MMA picks King Green “I'm going to go King Green by KO.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Green34-17-1
W Stephens Submission · R1 May '26
W Zellhuber KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Jr. Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Pimblett Submission · R1 Jul '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W Hooper KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Green Decision · R3 Dec '25