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Chikadze vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
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Almeida vs OleksiejczukMain Card · Middleweight
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MC
Costa vs CharrièreMain Card · Featherweight
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MB
Nzechukwu vs BuchechaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Magny vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Sharaf vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MC
LS
Croden vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AF
GP
Frye vs PatPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JH
TB
Horth vs BledáPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KG
LJ
Green vs Jr.Main Card · Catchweight
JB
IT
Brito vs ThomsonPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Gibson Jr.
over Green · Catchweight
Our fair value$2.58
pays above fair
$2.75
Best prices · Gibson Jr.
Caesars · US
$2.70
LeoVegas (SE) · EU
$2.75
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$2.60
Where to back Gibson Jr.
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.58
US
Caesars
$2.70
+5%
Caesars
$2.70
+5%
UK
Betway
$2.62
+2%
EU
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.75
+6%
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.75
+6%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$2.60
+1%
PointsBet (AU)
$2.60
+1%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.56
How it endsmethod calls · Gibson Jr. · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$2.58
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Green 34-17-1
VS
9-2 Gibson Jr.
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
158 lb
71"
reach
72"
39
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
6.4
strikes landed / min
1.2
53%
striking accuracy
75%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
6.4
62%
striking defence
20%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
39%
takedown accuracy
0%
74%
takedown defence
0%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 36%
Consensus43 of 104 analysts
Sharpest angleGibson Jr. by KO/TKO — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation
Back Gibson Jr. @ $2.75 · fair $2.58
+6% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MU
MustardKetchupMayo1000 picks King Green
“taking King Green ... King Green this is a lock”
PP
Parry Punch picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE
“I'm taking Lance Gibson Jr.”
DR
DRYWALL picks King Green
“I gota go Bobby Green by decision. Gotta go Bobby Green by decision.”
TP
The MMA War Room Podcast picks Lance Gibson Jr. VALUE
“give me Lance Gibson Jr. as a dog I'm all over Lance Gibson Jr..”
$2.80
MR
MMA Randy picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“by Lance Gibson Jr. I can see it Yeah, Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout.”
KL
KlasickMMA picks King Green
“I'm going to pick King Green by out So, give me King Green by KO.”
RM
Round by Round MMA picks King Green
“I'm going to pick King Green”
MF
Matt’Or Fact picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“I got Lance Gibson Jr. to go”
IM
IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“I do not trust King Green's King Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. go Lance Gibson Jr. by knockout rounds”
FI
Fight_Numerology picks King Green
“And King Green is in UFC since 2013 and Green versus Lance Gibson Jr. Lance Gibson Jr. in this matchup.”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Lance Gibson Jr.
“slight lean Lance Gibson Jr., Lance Gibson Jr. should be pretty choke and Lance Gibson Jr. submissions”
TM
TREMENDOUS MMA picks King Green
“I'm going to go King Green by KO.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Green34-17-1
W
Stephens
May '26
W
Zellhuber
Feb '26
W
Jr.
Dec '25
L
Ruffy
Mar '25
L
Pimblett
Jul '24
Gibson Jr.9-2
W
Hooper
Mar '26
L
Green
Dec '25