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BEST PRICE We back Asplund over Sharaf · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.39 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.46
Where to back Asplund best price · region · EV vs fair $1.39
US Caesars $1.45 +4%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.45 +4%
EU Pinnacle $1.46 +5%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.45 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.45
Consensus149 picks · conf 99/99
Sharaf 28
121 Asplund
DPTABT pick Sharaf
How it endsmethod calls · Asplund · crowd line
KO/TKO 16 $1.57
Decision 2 $12.55
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sharaf 4-1 VS 7-1 Asplund
6'3" height 6'5"
252 lb weight 261 lb
77" reach 78"
32 age 27
Orthodox stance Orthodox
7.3 strikes landed / min —
44% striking accuracy —
9.8 strikes absorbed / min —
44% striking defence —
2.1 takedowns / 15 min —
12% takedown accuracy —
0% takedown defence —
0.0 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 68%
Consensus121 of 149 analysts
Sharpest angleAsplund by KO/TKO — 16 of 18 method calls
Recommendation Back Asplund @ $1.46 · fair $1.39 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DR DRYWALL picks Sean Sharaf “I gota go Bobby Green by decision. Gotta go Bobby Green by decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Steven Asplund “I'm going to go and pick uh Steven Asplund to get this [__] done via decision or sorry, via first round knockout.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Steven Asplund “I actually changed it to Steven Asplund, actually.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Steven Asplund VALUE “I'm going to go with Steven Asplund with the knockout TKO.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Steven Asplund “I think a good bet could be Steven Asplund by knockout.”
KL KlasickMMA picks Steven Asplund “Watch that Steven Asplund by round one KO. This is so Steven Asplund will will put him out because Steven Asplund the only way you're beating Steven Asplund by round one.”
RM Round by Round MMA picks Steven Asplund “think Sean Sharaf does get knocked out ... go for Steven Asplund to win by”
MP MCA PICKS picks Sean Sharaf “Today is a tough day for Steven Asplund.”
IM IMIGHTBEWRONG MMA picks Steven Asplund “uh Sean Sharaf was knocked out out [laughter] Um, Steven Asplund. He has to go with Steven Asplund rounds one or”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Steven Asplund “So I am going with the Steven Asplund”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Steven Asplund “Slight lean Steven Asplund... Steven Asplund over Sean Sharaf”
MB Matty Betss picks Steven Asplund “Steven Asplund by KO trust Steven Asplund's just too big”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sharaf4-1
L Asplund KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
L Tafa KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
Asplund7-1
L Petrino Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Sharaf KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25