UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
AM
André Muniz
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
LOST
André Muniz
v Paul Craig
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm picking Moonies to win I think he can hurt him on the feet and not get subbed but at minus 190 I'm not real happy to to throw money at that yeah um I mean I don't know like maybe inside the distance I don't know what do you think we don't have props yet this we're recording the Saturday before this card but it's just a weird fight I think either one of them have the capability of finishing each other I just don't know if it's going to happen yeah this is a tough one you're you're more the grappler I'm like I kind of have I kind of extra it's a grappling chess match yeah because those guys are both pretty slick I mean if it is it's probably going to be Paul Craig off his back right yeah because I don't think I don't yeah he's gonna be the one that's gonna watch signature triangle and and go for that but I don't know I just I don't see him your knees is striking is I don't think he's gonna get caught sleeping on a triangle and it's an open stance too so I mean that because muniza Southpaw and so the right hand will be there yeah for both guys but I think minis definitely has more pop yeah than Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig he's a big dude like I mean Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig's no slash I don't think betting on Paul Craig Craig as a dog is a bad idea though I could see him winning no I mean is that what you you do for me I I wouldn't probably but is that what what you would do if I just you know I'd be I guess if you're looking at the live odds and it I think André Muniz kind of slows down yeah towards the end because that I mean he got subbed by Brendan Allen I think he was slowing down yeah I don't know if I put all my eggs into the Crag basket I mean it's worth it but if you're feeling the itch to you know I might be I don't think it's like a 50 50 fight out there and then obviously the value is on Paul Craig Paul Craig Craig right you know a little sprinkle on him I mean you got any like method anything decision fight like either side no decision anything either side submission I'm going I think Minnie's uh finishes him with strikes”
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JH
Jai Herbert
v Farès Ziam
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jai Herbert
v Farès Ziam
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going giant I picked Jai as well the odds I bet you I still don't it's minus 105 Jive minus 115 ZM completely even basically dry started minus 155 and he's come all the way down so people have been betting ZM who started at opened at plus 135. wow he's come down to minus 115. it's probably I'm assuming the public is like okay whoever's a dog here I'm just gonna take because it's that close the thing with the zeme though if he beat freaking malarkey yeah like that's a pretty good point it's a good it's a good win at the time but I mean Malarkey's not yeah I mean he's not really that special I think Jai could be malarkey I call him the ghoul yeah he just looks like a [__] [__] I don't know I'm excited either way whoever wins it's gonna be a kickboxing [__] match and it's gonna be badass yeah I don't think grappling's gonna be a factor here absolutely not like you said if it is right he's I think dry is actually a half decent Grappler he just fought some good Grapplers and McKinney subbed I like Hammer [__] Jai Herbert I mean the [__] I bet dry like a while ago and way worse price than this so minus 105 for Jai you could just take money line it doesn't matter prop it doesn't even matter it'll be the distance I think I mean you could you could go Jive by decision if you like him and get a better price but minus 105 I mean you might as well just go with that on yeah if he doesn't get the Finish then you're gonna feel all right anything else Chad I think so I just I got Jai I think uh he's a stud I'm a fan I may be biased but um I think I'm gonna I've put my money on Jay”
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entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
MM
Molly McCann
v Julija Stoliarenko
MONEYLINE
LOST
Molly McCann
v Julija Stoliarenko
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I went with uh meatball yeah I said uh I bet she's a heavy favorite too I said bring back the spinning elbow yeah I said and please God don't go to the ground yeah I mean the thing is is like I mean we talk about Chelsea Chandler last week Chelsea Chandler yeah but it almost seems like if she takes you now once and doesn't get an arm bar she just is done yeah I mean she's [__] yeah she might take that whatever she goes on Clark was pretty slick though it was 42 seconds yeah for her first attempt yeah you know what I mean like yeah that's kind of the the factor I mean she makes three straight losses in the EVENT_DETAILS they gave her another one they might give her another one after this I just don't understand it I mean someone to explain to me why they gave her Jessica Rose Clark hoping that Jessica Rose Clark would win because she's hot and the EVENT_DETAILS wants her to do good yeah yeah and she's still lost I mean [__] Molly Molly McCann minus 325. did you get cut after that yes plus 250 install your rank oh I'm actually surprised that's not worse me too I mean I figured all these these British why don't you pull an upset out of nowhere though and and Molly started it minus 400 and came down to 325 so it's like I'm I can't I mean maybe fight week I could see fight week all the the local people that are gonna go to the event just start hammering her and it shoots way up yeah so I mean if you if you're wanting to take a minus 325 favorite and Molly do it now I'm not that confident in mall I think she's going to win but I'm not like it's not a for sure like she's gonna win for me I mean she's obviously the big Striker on her feet but I don't know this is Toby wrinkle girl terrible striking terrible striking defense what if she gets one of them arm bars that's that's her one shot that's that first arm bar if she gets her down Hail Mary I don't see it I'm talking out of my ass I'm always gonna win it”
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TA
Tom Aspinall
v Marcin Tybura
MONEYLINE
WON
Tom Aspinall
v Marcin Tybura
MONEYLINE
WON
“Tom by Landslide yeah Tom yeah I wouldn't bet on anything finish wise but definitely he's a parlay almost uh oh if you're book old parlay [__] Surefire don't do it I think if your book will let you parlay him inside the distance maybe you can do that my bed online doesn't let you do that it doesn't let you parlay props with anything else really so but if your book lets you to go ahead and give that a go um is that it anything else I think it's fun card I'm excited yeah yeah like you said there was a belt at the top it's a pay-per-view all day exactly especially in England I mean that crowd they're going to sell it out whether it is or isn't a paper or you know I love you the UK crowds are sick yeah aspinal he's I think he's basically a headline like every UK card aside from the one that Leon did why not for like five years [__] it he's the [__] man well thanks for watching head over to Instagram HR podcast Tick Tock at hungover handwrite hit like And subscribe on YouTube and do them all do it all we'll be back we'll be back with next week's preview too and every week after that so yes sir thanks for watching see you guys foreign [Music]”
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LM
Lerone Murphy
v Joshua Culibao
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Lerone Murphy
v Joshua Culibao
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm going with Lerone Murphy too I picked him to win too did you guys see cool that was EVENT_DETAILS debut which one was it Jalen he went up to 155 to fight Jalen Turner yeah yeah short notice debut I didn't watch that one back but I mean that's kind of like Jalen Turner's short notice debut against Luke at 70. yeah I got knocked out oh there is a common theme with these guys they have all fought fought Charles Jordan yes cool about it too cool about went to a draw with him and then [__] Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood wood I don't know if André André Muniz Philly did I don't think so all these guys have fought him I like Charles I do too no that's what I'm saying they're beat these guys a lot of these guys beat him I did notice that same thing that they've all fought Charles Jordan the odds are I bet it's pretty close minus 145 larone Lerone Murphy maybe not plus 125 I mean that's fairly I'm going Lerone Murphy it opened at 225 for larone and it's come all the way down to Fort 145. meaning people are hammering um cool about pretty I'm gonna take Lerone Murphy but people might be falling in love with the the whole close fight of Santos and yeah yeah I'm not gonna I'm not gonna read into that too much though no cool Bell's tough though man hey I think he's gonna hang in there I don't know if I would put a finish on anybody yeah I think yeah I think decisions probably the way to do I think Lerone Murphy's just gonna just basically outsmart him on the feet and beat him up cool about does have sneaky power though like yeah that uh back to Saran guy he dropped him with a jab so I mean I do like I do like him I watch a couple of his interviews he seems like a pretty cool dude yeah I like all the Aussies man they're they're awesome personally I'm probably I mean I'm not I don't know if I'm gonna get to larone at minus 145 I kind of like the fight goes to decision prop but that might not be a super spectacular number either I mean you are you seeing a finish or I'm not yeah I think I don't think I'm seeing a finish unless it gets into one of those dog fights but I just don't see Lerone Murphy falling into one of those I think they're both technical enough and good enough to not get I mean maybe Lerone Murphy Clips cool about maybe yeah but I don't know I see it going to a decision yeah I think take take the vehicle by Lerone Murphy if you're super confident on one side of the other maybe take it by decision or even the money Line's not terrible minus 145 plus 125 but me personally I'm probably looking fight goes the distance prop which is going to be minus something but that's where I'd be looking um ready for the next one let's do it”
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NW
Nathaniel Wood
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Nathaniel Wood
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm taking wood in this fight but I think he's gonna do well taking them to the ground you know with trips because grappling everything like that I gave André André Muniz The Experience because he's fought some big names oh he has yeah yeah I mean the mix for a while yeah Max yair cater yeah Michael Jonny Parsons although he lost all those fights but he you know he he's not like starch the hell out of him who was that it's probably yair with like a jump yeah here uh head kicked him is that who I'm thinking two fights ago he got I mean this one was bad bad it was it two fights ago burrito burrito overhanded the [__] out of 41 seconds in the fight yeah but Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood was so slick on the feet he he switches stances well he I mean he takes his feet with him everywhere he goes out in he doesn't lean it's it's just everything his feet go with him and he does what he does with like especially kicks he'll switch with a kick like someone's throwing a kick if it's you know closed stances and like feel he throws like a head kick with his right leg rear leg he'll uh Nathaniel Woodle he'll like switch with the defense so it like covers that much more distance you know what I mean he'll switch his bounce backwards yeah oh so he covers a lot more distance instead of just like bouncing back in the same stance he'll bounce back and switch that's kind of cool okay so he like I mean especially might also kind of set up a kick from from him too yeah I could he just I don't know he's got a really great feel for for boxing you know both what's because when he when he first was in the EVENT_DETAILS I to me I was like this guy gets hit a lot like he hits he's a good Striker but he gets hit a lot and his last couple fights since he went up to 45 he's he seems to really like have shored that up his striking defense looks really good another thing this fight against um Charles Jordan he did it was a [__] awesome fight decision but he beat the [__] yeah and Jordan's a he's another nasty Striker and but every time Jordan I mean I'm talking like every time Jordan threw a head kick would would kick the leg out from under him he would time it every time kick his leg right out from under him feely he likes throwing head kicks yeah I think Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood's gonna kick that with the yard odds are because this one's another 50 50 for me both these guys I'm nasty the pick for me is Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood Nathaniel Wood he's minus 180 plus 155 for Philly plus 155. I think Nathaniel Nathaniel Wood would by decision”
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