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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ziam v Herbert Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Ziam 19
20 Herbert
APMWUM pick Ziam
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ziam 18-4 VS 13-6-1 Herbert
6'1" height 6'1"
156 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 77"
29 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 3.2
43% striking accuracy 42%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
61% striking defence 52%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
37% takedown accuracy 23%
66% takedown defence 59%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Farès Ziam “I'm gonna go for asiam for the win” $1.65
BC Blessed Collector picks Jai Herbert “I've got Jai Herbert he was able to knock down taporia and have him hurt”
WP We Want Picks picks Farès Ziam “a lot of people think he's gonna win this fight um especially if he works in some grappling he certainly can” $84.00
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Farès Ziam “I'm gonna take uh ziam for the win”
HY Hypecheck picks Farès Ziam “what it comes down to for me is that Farès Ziamarès Ziam will have an easy path to Victory which will be by taking Jai Herbert down” $1.62
CC Combat Crazy picks Jai Herbert “I think I think Jai Herbert takes this by decision”
PR Premium-Picks picks Farès Ziam “my pick is going to be Farès Ziam by just being more well-rounded”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Farès Ziam VALUE “I'm going for raziam on the scorecards” $2.40
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Jai Herbert “Farès Ziam vs Jai Herbert”
BB Blood Money MMA Bets picks Farès Ziam “Farès Ziam vs Jai Herbert”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Farès Ziam “most confident fighter is Tom Aspinall Molly McCann Makhmud Muradov Nathaniel Wood André Muniz Lerone Murphy Farès Ziam Daniel Bárez Jonny Parsons Joel Álvarez Davey Grant Chris Duncan Jamal Pogues Pannie Kianzad and least confident fighter is Shauna Bannon”
WI WEIGHING IN picks Jai Herbert “I give I'm going with Jai Herbert yeah”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ziam18-4
L Nolan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Davis Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Frevola KO/TKO · R3 Sep '24
W Puelles Decision · R3 Feb '24
Herbert13-6-1
W Nallo KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Padilla Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Bedoya Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ziam Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Nelson Decision · R3 Jul '22