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Filho vs BárezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Stoliarenko vs McCannMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Wood vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight
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Ziam vs HerbertMain Card · Lightweight
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Murphy vs CulibaoMain Card · Featherweight
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Marcos vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight
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Parsons vs RobertsPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JÁ
MD
Álvarez vs DiakiesePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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JP
Parkin vs PoguesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
MM
BB
Muradov vs BarberenaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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PK
Vieira vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Duncan vs AshmouzPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Brasil vs BannonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Filho vs BárezPreliminary Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Filho v Bárez
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Filho 17-5
VS
17-6 Bárez
5'7"
height
—
135 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
4.1
41%
striking accuracy
52%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
54%
striking defence
57%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.2
74%
takedown accuracy
31%
71%
takedown defence
92%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I'm definitely picking Jafel Filho ... I'm gonna throw 50 bucks on Jafel Filho to win 43.86 ... Jafel Filho for the win over here ... it's a lock over here so 50 bet place it lock 50 match on your first deposit ... Jafel Filho should run through this little twink let's go”
The MMA-Holes picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I'm definitely picking Jafel Filho ... I'm gonna throw 50 bucks on Jafel Filho to win 43.86 ... Jafel Filho for the win over here ... it's a lock over here so 50 bet place it lock 50 match on your first deposit ... Jafel Filho should run through this little twink let's go”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“the pick on the first fight has been Jafel Filho all week long”
$1.88
MMA EXPERTS picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“the pick on the first fight has been Jafel Filho all week long”
$1.88
BM
Bert MMA picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“a lot a lot of slight leans with André Muniz Mick Park and Nathaniel wood for scium Yanal Ashmouz Davey Grant ketland Vienna Jafel Filho Lerone Murphy and Bruna Brasil”
Bert MMA picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“a lot a lot of slight leans with André Muniz Mick Park and Nathaniel wood for scium Yanal Ashmouz Davey Grant ketland Vienna Jafel Filho Lerone Murphy and Bruna Brasil”
CC
Combat Crazy picks Jafel Filho
“just off of of jfl's last performance I'm gonna have to just pick him”
Combat Crazy picks Jafel Filho
“just off of of jfl's last performance I'm gonna have to just pick him”
BF
Bobby Bets Fights picks Jafel Filho
“I'm going to go ahead and go with Daniel bars for that one”
Bobby Bets Fights picks Jafel Filho
“I'm going to go ahead and go with Daniel bars for that one”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Daniel Bárez VALUE
“I'm actually flipping to Daniel Bárez uh I think a conservative pick here is going to be over 1.5 I think Andre Fili's uh excels in the scrambles but I don't think he's gonna have the better wrestling I don't think he's really gonna have the better striking um he's actually susceptible to getting finished himself so I'm going to take Daniel Bárez actually here”
Premium-Picks picks Daniel Bárez VALUE
“I'm actually flipping to Daniel Bárez uh I think a conservative pick here is going to be over 1.5 I think Andre Fili's uh excels in the scrambles but I don't think he's gonna have the better wrestling I don't think he's really gonna have the better striking um he's actually susceptible to getting finished himself so I'm going to take Daniel Bárez actually here”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Daniel Bárez
“most confident fighter is Tom Aspinall Molly McCann Makhmud Muradov Nathaniel Wood André Muniz Lerone Murphy Farès Ziam Daniel Bárez Jonny Parsons Joel Álvarez Davey Grant Chris Duncan Jamal Pogues Pannie Kianzad and least confident fighter is Shauna Bannon”
Addicted2Combat picks Daniel Bárez
“most confident fighter is Tom Aspinall Molly McCann Makhmud Muradov Nathaniel Wood André Muniz Lerone Murphy Farès Ziam Daniel Bárez Jonny Parsons Joel Álvarez Davey Grant Chris Duncan Jamal Pogues Pannie Kianzad and least confident fighter is Shauna Bannon”
JR
JrBlessed picks Daniel Bárez
“I can see Daniel Bárez winning the fight even possibly getting a finish man his power has been on another level recently and I can see him definitely getting to finish”
JrBlessed picks Daniel Bárez
“I can see Daniel Bárez winning the fight even possibly getting a finish man his power has been on another level recently and I can see him definitely getting to finish”
AM
Aaron The Dog MMA picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“so I do think jafelle gets it done on the feet I think it's a much more closer than on the ground for filo so overall I like the price I got I feel like I'm at minus 115 two days ago uh that I'm straight I'm gonna have him in a possibly a favorite favorite parlay”
$1.83
Aaron The Dog MMA picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“so I do think jafelle gets it done on the feet I think it's a much more closer than on the ground for filo so overall I like the price I got I feel like I'm at minus 115 two days ago uh that I'm straight I'm gonna have him in a possibly a favorite favorite parlay”
$1.83
DV
Dissection Of Violence picks Jafel Filho
“I'm leaning Jafel Filho Jafel Filho but I'm I'm I wouldn't be surprised at all Daniel Bárez wins this”
Dissection Of Violence picks Jafel Filho
“I'm leaning Jafel Filho Jafel Filho but I'm I'm I wouldn't be surprised at all Daniel Bárez wins this”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Daniel Bárez VALUE
“I'm going to side with the slight Underdog Daniel Bárez to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Daniel Bárez VALUE
“I'm going to side with the slight Underdog Daniel Bárez to win this match up”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“give me the Jafel Filho taking another lessier flyweight fight 12 and a half minutes um these guys are so dangerous both Jafel Filho and Daniel Bárez bars is like a 82 finish rate Philly like a 93 phillios actually hasn't been the distance since like 2014. um I think both guys are just like the last fight gonna be dangerous wherever the fight goes”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“give me the Jafel Filho taking another lessier flyweight fight 12 and a half minutes um these guys are so dangerous both Jafel Filho and Daniel Bárez bars is like a 82 finish rate Philly like a 93 phillios actually hasn't been the distance since like 2014. um I think both guys are just like the last fight gonna be dangerous wherever the fight goes”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Filho17-5
L
Durden
Apr '26
W
Carpenter
Oct '25
L
Nascimento
May '25
W
Osbourne
Mar '24
W
Bárez
Jul '23
Bárez17-6
W
Altamirano
Sep '24
L
Filho
Jul '23