UFC 301 Pantoja vs Erceg BEST BETS Breakdown

“I got Vitor Petrino as my first leg because he's just a brick house of a man he's he's getting better everywhere and he's his fighting IQ has been improving he hasn't been rushing fights anymore he's got that power the patience and the pressure and with that big strong frame it's hard to to uh to face that and now he's facing Gus scav is coming back two weeks in a row um my mistake this is lion Hart this is uh dude he this guy is old he's he has so many fights under his belt and he's been looking worse and worse fight to fight and I don't think his durability is going to be good here against Petrino I think petrino's probably gonna get a finish in this fight in Brazil and this could be petrino's second retirement fight opponent in a row so I think Vitor Petrino can handle this pretty good pretty well”

“so Jo Anderson Joanderson Brito is facing a 17 and one fighter Jack Shore but when I look at Jack Shaw his UFC wins and his UFC opponents most of them are no longer in the UFC so that record might be a little inflated there and I think Jack's easiest path to Victory is to kind of do a version of what Jack Shore was able to do grapple slow down Britto aggressive and pressure and just slow down the Joanderson Brito train and I think it it would be hard for Jack to do that because it's hard for me to imagine if if Jack is standing up with burrito that he doesn't get hurt I think from what I've seen he I've seen some bad uh shots that Jack has taken in the past and he's been knocked down and whatnot so in Brazil maybe like a burrito friendly crowd he's hyped up I it's hard for me not to see some some fireworks in this one and when there's fireworks I'm going on the side of Joanderson Brito and as for some things on burrito he's he just has the more dangerous style everywhere whether it's submissions power on the standup early finishes and again home crowd judges may be swayed by the damage and excitement that Brito brings so um I I got Brito in minus 138”

“so I don't really have the best bet to be honest I think I'm on like a cold streak so I don't want to you know know there's nothing that's standing out to me uh just because like all of these all the prices are very high um you have Ismael Bonfim minus 550 uh Michel Pereira minus 600 Kyle Balo 600 Vitor Petrino 550 I feel like you know one of them is going to bust like just always happens that way so I would caution against uh just throwing all of these favorites into a parlay uh but I will what I will give you guys is uh bet that leaning towards I already have a unit in already for this bet but you know uh just for you pure Pickers it's going to be uh Alexandre Pantoja to win by decision uh so that's plus 285 right now and so like I like this pick because you know first of all I rate eg very highly I think he's a very good Fighter um when he came in and beat uh that ranked fighter matchell or no not matchell uh Dvorak Dvorak uh super impressive um coming into that fight uh and you know ever since that fight to then go on and beat uh Alessandro Costa and Matt Schnell you know super impressive uh I definitely rate or say very highly but the reason I'm giving Alexandre Pantoja to win by decision here is because uh I think that you know it's going to be a huge step up in competition uh even from those guys that Steve Erceg beat and I don't see Alexandre Pantoja finishing ersek just because Steve Erceg is super durable uh he has uh he's great grappling uh so I don't think he'll get submitted either um it's definitely going to be a sweat I think you know the way Steve Erceg fights he likes fighting in the pocket he likes being in you know that danger zone and so does Alexandre Pantoja like he'll get hit as well uh but I just see Alexandre Pantoja edging this one out uh and winning by decision so give me Alexandre Pantoja by a decision plus 285”

“this pick I'm actually on the the Aussie side damn I'm not with the panta I think that uh I mean both these guys kind of don't have a weakness in MMA they're pretty well-rounded and they both have pretty good bases in uh grappling I I would give egg the advantage in the Striking and the standup he looks more cleaner and precise pretty good boxing however Alexandre Pantoja does have that power especially early on and this fight I think this fight can go past two rounds and I know panto is going to be really dangerous in the first two I think that if ERS gets past uh stays alive after the second round I think uh pantoja's defense kind of wains and his cardio and his uh his standup defense kind of gets slow or tired or kind of sloppy and I think in the next three rounds there's a chance that ERS could pie up Penta for the final three rounds of the fight which I think can happen and for the plus money I I went with the Steve Erceg with this one”