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UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · breakdown

UFC 293 Preview, DFS Analysis, and Fight Picks

FH Fight HQ63% hit
34 months ago 9W–6L · +5.5u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SS Sean Strickland v Israel Adesanya MONEYLINE WON
“I do think that Sean Strickland has more than a 20 chance of winning this fight and he's about an 18 chance of winning this fight based on probability”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$6.05 → close$6.20
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
AL Austen Lane v Justin Tafa PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I actually am picking Thai Tui Vasa to upset Alexander Volkov and win via KO”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$2.90 → close$2.80
Lane’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.05
TP Tyson Pedro v Anton Turkalj MONEYLINE WON
“give me Tyson Pedro”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.00 → close$2.00
entry: SuperBook · best in any region at publish
SY Shane Young v Gabriel Miranda MONEYLINE LOST
“the pick is still going to be Shane young”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −12%
◆ entry$1.65 → close$1.87
entry: SuperBook · best in any region at publish
KC Kiefer Crosbie v Kevin Jousset MONEYLINE LOST
“I think that the under two and a half is probably gonna hit um I'm gonna be leaning with Kevin Jousset gissette”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$2.35 → close$2.55
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
AV Alexander Volkov v Tai Tuivasa MONEYLINE WON
“I'm gonna go volkov”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.42 → close$1.45
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
AT Anton Turkalj v Tyson Pedro MONEYLINE LOST
“I would go Anton Turkalj Pedro”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.97 → close$1.95
entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish
CM Chepe Mariscal v Jack Jenkins MONEYLINE WON
“give me olberg olberg I'm gonna go Jenkins”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80 → close$2.80
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
GM Gabriel Miranda v Shane Young MONEYLINE WON
“give me uh Miranda”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +18%
◆ entry$2.45 → close$2.08
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
KJ Kevin Jousset v Kiefer Crosbie MONEYLINE WON
“give me the favorite set yeah just sat for me as well”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65 → close$1.65
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MK Manel Kape v Felipe dos Santos MONEYLINE WON —
“I think that Manel cop is clearly in a favorable matchup ... I think minnow cop should should walk away the victory”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.26 → close$1.27
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
IA Israel Adesanya v Sean Strickland PROP · KO/TKO LOST —
“give me uh and still Israel Adesanya busy uh ... I think he's going to you know pick up a late TKO or a decision”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.15 → close$1.17
Adesanya’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.15
JM Jamie Mullarkey v John Makdessi MONEYLINE WON —
“give me malarkey malarkey”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.41 → close$1.41
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
JJ Jack Jenkins v Chepe Mariscal MONEYLINE LOST —
“I'm going to be picking Jack Jenkins”
fight iq ↗
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48 → close$1.48
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
JT Justin Tafa v Austen Lane PROP · KO/TKO WON —
“I'm going to be backing Justin taffa to get a knockout”
fight iq ↗
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.50 → close$1.51
Tafa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.45