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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · breakdown

UFC Fight Night Mexico - Moreno vs Royval 2 Full Card Breakdown & Predictions

TM TigerBomb MMA59% hit
28 months ago 0W–10L · -10.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MN Muhammad Naimov v Erik Silva PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm gonna go with naov he's minus 280 though let me take this homie button out real quick uh yeah he's uh yeah like I I don't know what to say about him man like I worry that like if I put him on a parlay with somebody he's going to like shut the bed like Eric Sila throws like a really sloppy tired lazy spinning back kick that lands and he knocks him out you know the only thing that I like is that he cheated his way to beat Nathaniel wood but yeah naov to me he's gonna win this one I'm gonna say by a decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.30 close$1.19
Naimov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.36
FS Felipe dos Santos v Victor Altamirano PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to go with dos Santos to win this one see the thing is I don't know because I think Los Santos has the ability to knock him out but ultimar does have a pretty good chin I'm gonna go with the knockout though I'm gonna say round number two”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.35
Santos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.35
CP Claudio Puelles v Farès Ziam PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I'll go with clao boes by submission round number one I I really do expect boes to look really nasty here to have the cardio on point to be able to get takedowns and even then if he can't take Zam down I think he'd just drop down for or knee bar he's he's really good at getting that damn knee bar like it's it's surprising and he even got it on Dan hooker and Dan hooker knew was coming I know damn well that Zam knows it's coming but I don't think he has that kind of like Jiu-Jitsu sub defense with the with the legs quite yet and I think it's gonna pose an issue for him so I'm gonna go with po I'm gonna take a shot on him to win”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.85 close$2.85
Puelles’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.85
EC Edgar Chairez v Daniel Lacerda PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm gonna pick chrus to win this one I'm gonna pick him to win by knockout in the second round if I do so I'm doing it for all of you the moment I pick against Lera because I've never picked against this [__] except I think the Vergara fight and the moment I picked against him he nearly won that fight so if I do that here I pick against him he's gonna surely win this fight so don't hold it against me I want Lera to win but chyz has to be legit doesn't it I can't just say that chyz is gonna win because he's going to be able to take the punches and the kicks of Lera he's going to be able to avoid the jiu-jitsu attack he's going to be able to push a pace and pressure Lera avoid getting taken down and if he does get taken down get back up and then Implement his pressure based style where he will tire out Lera and then he will finish him with TKO punches in the second round”
Analyst’s stated line $1.26
analyst’s stated line — no market snapshots for this fight
JA Jesús Santos Aguilar v Mateus Mendonça PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I am going to go with agular on this one I'm going to say he's going to get that submission in the third round I think it's going to be a really fun back and forth fight with agular just kind of swings there's a good chance that even if agular doesn't get the Finish he might still get like a decision or Split Decision um this is matta's fight to lose fully because there's there's not saying that agular is not skilled but he's a small man and there's ways to beat this guy it's just that like he's going to make it really really really hard for mendonsa so I want to see them face off that reach Advantage though is just going to be really hard to overcome man like if you do the right things you jab his nose you bloody him up make it hard for him to breathe he's not going to be the most Relentless Pitbull anymore but again is mandona gonna do that or is he gonna fall into those tricks like he does so much sometimes that I I can't trust the guy like he came in from the contender series he knocked the dude out cold made it look easy then he fought uh Javid bashat looked bad then he fought Nate mayus looked really bad but the noticeable pattern that he does is that he he goes for wild techniques and he tires himself out it's unnecessary [__] and that's why I'm like is he gonna revert back to that he needs a UFC win I do think he can get the jab off but again like he just is fighting a guy who is Relentless hence me going with agular I'm going to say he's going to get that that uh that guillotine in the third round”
Moneyline since pick CLV +12%
◆ entry$2.40 close$2.15
Aguilar’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.25
RB Raoni Barcelos v Cristian Quiñonez PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think barcelos is gonna hit harder than that I think barcela is gonna mix in takedowns I think that konz is g to get tired and barcelos is not um yeah I think barcelos has the ability to easily beat this guy I think he needs it more than kones and I don't think kones is gonna have that proper response if he gets cracked I think he's gonna have a bad response and his response will be more than likely to clinch which is playing right into barcelos his game plan who is what he's a coral belt in Jiu-Jitsu get the [__] out of here I've got barcelos even if he gets knocked out like that's a risk you got to take right I don't know if I'm going to play barcelos I might take him like by finish or so maybe like two bats inside the distance or by a decision no probably inside the distance I don't think konas can survive um but yeah my my pick is going to be barcelos”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.58 close$1.65
Barcelos’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.57
MT Manuel Torres v Chris Duncan PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I am going to go with Torres round number one I don't think he can afford to lose at home here against Chris Duncan you can't let the Invaders come in here and take over so I got Manuel Torres to win by round number one I think he does crack him with something because his his combos are lethal he throws these hands fast and I think Chris is just too damn slow”
Moneyline since pick CLV +9%
◆ entry$1.71 close$1.57
Torres’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.87
YJ Yazmin Jauregui v Sam Hughes PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to say round number two TKO how does Sam Hughes win this fight if some way howy gases out and I I doubt she will gas out I accidentally put Hughes to win if if how to gas is out somehow of course Sam Hughes takes over that is her game she is not a good Striker but she will beat the crap out of Brazilian death gassers when they gas she's not a good wrestler but she will uh take advantage of shitty Strikers who cannot wrestle and beat their ass she is a solid fighter I respect her game I respect her ability to come back and win her toughness she is very tough but in this case she is fighting someone who is gonna beat her ass so I'm gonna go with Howe round number two TKO”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.23 close$1.19
Jauregui’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.21
DZ Daniel Zellhuber v Francisco Prado PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I am going to go with Z Hooper to win this one I think he's a more talented guy longer guy harder guy to take down can get takedowns of his own he's a solid dude and I think pra is a tough Prospect for damn sure but he's he's a little too young for this point if he comes out here and he beats Daniel Zellhuber and I'll be I'll be upfront like I think if if he somehow knocks him out or he finishes him or he just destroys him in every aspect of MMA I don't I don't want to straight up say that like oh my God pra's this great oh my God he's going to be the next future champion because he did this to zel Huber to me it's more of like zel Huer allowed that to happen to himself because you know how good he is you see it in tape you see the glimpses of how good zoh Huer is but it's like does he know how good he is that's my biggest worry um very very looking forward to this fight both these guys are fun Fighters kind of hate that they have to fight each other uh they should have given Z hoer like I don't know Jordan levit or something and no [__] it give pra Jordan levit Jordan Lev would probably oh my God he'd love it like oh my God this hot uh Argentinian on top of me um yeah they they they should not have match these guys up together because you're ruining a prospect and a kid that can get nasty Knockouts in pra and zoh Huer who can just systematically break dudes down why waste two proper prospects here very young kids but yeah moving on I'll go with Z hubber round number three submission”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.41 close$1.38
Zellhuber’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.38
YR Yair Rodríguez v Brian Ortega PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going to go with the underdog on this one I'm gonna go with Yair Rodríguez to get a finish he's gonna make the crowd happy I don't think again he is the most skilled guy and this could be like an utter idiotic pick for me but there's a good chance that he can put on a pace to tire out bondar by say he if he gets taken down he can get back up I know that for sure but where on the gas tank of bondar we on that body he he has solid enough boxing when he wants to like he can attack the body nicely bondar likes to strike himself uh I know with Jackson wink he's goingon to be like just just shoot for takedowns from like a mile away and get him down don't engage with him so we'll see how this fight plans out and plays out but I'll go with Yair Rodríguez reluctantly at this point uh by a third round TKO”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.69 close$1.71
Rodríguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.00