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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Torres v Duncan Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Torres 21
18 Duncan
HPLBTL pick Torres
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Torres 17-3 VS 15-2 Duncan
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 156 lb
73" reach 71"
31 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
7.2 strikes landed / min 4.7
55% striking accuracy 46%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
52% striking defence 48%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 3.5
66% takedown accuracy 37%
88% takedown defence 33%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BR Broom picks Chris Duncan VALUE “I'm picking the underdog here I think Chris Duncan's going to get a nice decision victory”
LS Lil Stray picks Manuel Torres “I'm going with Manuel Manuel Torres in this fight”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chris Duncan “I would prefer to get on to the Chris Duncan side”
EA Edwin Alvarado picks Chris Duncan “I got Chris Duncan in this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I do think Manuel Torres wins”
TP The City Life Project picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I'm going with Torres”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Manuel Torres “so 80% Tes takes this one”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Chris Duncan VALUE “I'm all the way on Chris Duncan”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Chris Duncan VALUE “give me Duncan and Duncan to pull off the upset”
VI VinceMMA picks Manuel Torres “I just think Manuel Torres has takedowns”
WP We Want Picks picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I also like Manuel Torres higher than four and a half or 4.95 it basically this has to get to the second round and I think it does”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Chris Duncan “I'm want to take Chris Duncan Chris Duncan Duncan here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Torres17-3
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Duncan Submission · R1 Feb '24
Duncan15-2
L Moicano Submission · R2 Apr '26
W McKinney Submission · R1 Dec '25
W Rębecki Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Vucenic Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Oki Submission · R1 Sep '24