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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rodríguez v Bondar Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Rodríguez 6
9 Bondar
HMMDKM pick Rodríguez
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 17-2 VS 14-5 Bondar
5'6" height 5'6"
127 lb weight 126 lb
65" reach 69"
27 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 4.6
44% striking accuracy 50%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
46% striking defence 56%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.0
50% takedown accuracy 58%
64% takedown defence 62%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Denys Bondar “I think Denys Bondar probably gets this one done”
WP We Want Picks picks Denys Bondar VALUE “I think he wins this fight I think he should be the favorite”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I am picking rod Rodriguez in a scrappy decision” $1.83
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Denys Bondar VALUE “give me the dog money in here man I think he could win uh by decision or even a a late third round finish man”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ronaldo Rodríguez VALUE “Luis Rodriguez here he's 8,000 going against Denys Bondar I actually think this is a pretty sneaky fight to Target a fight that has sneaky finishing upside as well Denise bondar is a is a killer be killed fighter this guy has um I think like I don't know so there's there's conflicting records on tapology it's 23 fights on Sher dog it's like 16 fights we'll say we'll go with Sher dog's record which is which is 14 and two um he has been to decision I think only twice in his career and one of the decisions he went to was in his last fight against Carlos Hernandez where I don't know he got he got slammed down there was a head Clash on the slam and he just took like 10 of the most brutal follow-up shots you've ever seen I mean he was knocked out right so you could call that you can call that a knockout loss if you want so in my opinion he's pretty much only been to decision once in 16 to 21 fights whatever record you want to go with um but yeah killer be kill fighter there with Denny bondar Ronaldo Rodríguez is a guy that he throws with very bad intentions he has a lot of power and he has a slick submission game as well he'll he'll go for the guillotine and we've seen bondar put himself in the bad spots most notably was against Malcolm Gordon in their first fight as well I could see Ronaldo Rodríguez maybe Landing a big shot late here I can see Luis Ro Rodriguez snatching up a submission late here if Bond do slow down and if bondar does get his grappling game going he has finished the majority of his wins by submission 71% submission rate for Bond for what it's worth so sneaky fight the target I am more so on the Luis Ronaldo Rodriguez side at 8,000 you're saving 200 on top of that he is now the slight favorite minus 120”
TO The Golden Octagon picks Denys Bondar “I'm want to go Denys Bondar Bondar vond”
PR Premium-Picks picks Denys Bondar VALUE “I think he's going to win um I don't know if I'm gonna lay it bet though I think I might have missed out on all the value” $1.80
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Ronaldo Rodríguez VALUE “I'm going to go throw rosos Jr to get the win”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Denys Bondar “I'm going to predict Denys Bondar gets the job done”
HC Hilltown Clips picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I'm going go ahead and stick with Ronaldo Rodríguez Rodríguez”
PP Pure Picks picks Denys Bondar “going with Bond” $2.45
TG THE MMA GURU picks Denys Bondar VALUE “I'm gonna go with Dennis Bond here over Lu Rodriguez”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez17-2
L Borjas Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Osbourne Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Bondar Submission · R2 Feb '24
Bondar14-5
L Rodríguez Submission · R2 Feb '24
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Gordon KO/TKO · R1 Feb '22