MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
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BR BM Royval vs MorenoMain Card · Flyweight BO YR Ortega vs RodríguezMain Card · Featherweight DZ FP Zellhuber vs PradoMain Card · Lightweight YJ SH Jauregui vs HughesMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MT CD Torres vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight RB CQ Barcelos vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JA MM Aguilar vs MendonçaPreliminary Card · Flyweight EC DL Chairez vs LacerdaPreliminary Card · Catchweight FZ CP Ziam vs PuellesPreliminary Card · Lightweight RR DB Rodríguez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight FS VA Santos vs AltamiranoPreliminary Card · Flyweight MN ES Naimov vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Royval v Moreno Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus50 picks · conf 70/99
Royval 12
38 Moreno
PFGUBM pick Royval
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Royval 17-7 VS 23-9-2 Moreno
5'9" height 5'7"
125 lb weight 125 lb
68" reach 70"
33 age 32
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 4.0
39% striking accuracy 43%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
47% striking defence 60%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
75% takedown accuracy 46%
45% takedown defence 64%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BR Broom picks Brandon Moreno “I'm going to go Brandon Moreno by by decision”
EA Edwin Alvarado picks Brandon Moreno “in the end Brandon Moreno will be victorious”
MP Michael Bisping Podcast picks Brandon Moreno “I've got Brandon Moreno in this I think he's improved so much since that first fight ... I think unless something like that happens Brandon Moreno gets the Victory”
KU Kunath picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “Brandon Moreno with five rounds to work is somebody who can always score very well”
WP We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “I'm going to go Moreno here $8,800 seems fair to me”
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Brandon Royval “Brandon Royval had one knockout victory in the third round and one technical knockout victory in the fifth round”
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “the simulations have Brandon Moreno coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with one decision victory One technical knockout victory in the fifth round and one knockout victory in the fifth round”
M👊 MMA.I. - UFC Predictions & Simulations 👊🎮 picks Brandon Moreno “the simulations have Brandon Moreno coming out on top winning three out of five simulations with one decision victory One technical knockout victory in the fifth round and one knockout victory in the fifth round”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Brandon Moreno “so 80% Brandon Moreno takes this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Brandon Moreno VALUE “hey I'm Brandon Moreno till I die Moreno”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Moreno “I'm going Brandon Moreno for the dub” $1.33
BM Broke Bets MMA picks Brandon Royval VALUE “I wouldn't use Brandon Moreno either I mean he's been sat down by uh strikes before I mean I know he's getting hit by uh davidon federo but Brandon Royval is still a dangerous fighter and I don't see Moreno just laying on him the entire fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Royval17-7
L Kape KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
L Van Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Taira Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Moreno Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Pantoja Decision · R5 Dec '23
Moreno23-9-2
L Kavanagh Decision · R5 Feb '26
L Taira KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Erceg Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Albazi Decision · R5 Nov '24
L Royval Decision · R5 Feb '24