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Twon DeSimone
UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira · breakdown

UFC Fight Night Perez v Taira Predictions + Breakdown

TD Twon DeSimone62% hit
25 months ago 3W–6L
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
GF Gabriella Fernandes v Carli Judice PROP · DECISION WON
“Carly judice to win a decis ision because Gabriel Fernandez can't win a decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
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Fernandes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JQ Josh Quinlan v Adam Fugitt PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm gonna go with Josh kinin to win by round two KO over Adam fujit”
Moneyline since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.83
Quinlan’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NM Nate Maness v Jimmy Flick PROP · DECISION WON
“Nate Maness is GNA win this fight via 3027 unanimous decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.24 close$1.20
Maness’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
GA Garrett Armfield v Brady Hiestand PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think Garrett Armfield is a lot better than he gets credit for I think his boxing's pretty good I think he looked really good against Brad Katona and I think he's going to win this fight via 2928 decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.56 close$1.56
Armfield’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AA Asu Almabayev v Jose Johnson PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“alabay is going to win this fight by round two submission over Jose Johnson”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.22 close$1.20
Almabayev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
TC Timothy Cuamba v Lucas Almeida PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'm going Timmy kwba to win a 3027 unanimous decision”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.54 close$1.54
Cuamba’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP Alex Perez v Tatsuro Taira PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I'm going with Alex Alex Perez to win this fight by a round four TKO”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
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Perez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DA Douglas Silva de Andrade v Miles Johns PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“dougas Silva J and draj round two miles Johns isn't going to be able to get him down and Miles Johns is be able to land the crazy punches I think Silva de Andra is going to be able to get his range well and he's going to win this fight Douglas Silva de Andrade gets a round two KO”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
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Andrade’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JK Josefine Lindgren Knutsson v Julia Polastri PROP · DECISION WON
“I'm going Josefine Lindgren Knutsson here jaaie versus Westin Wilson I'm going with Jaa sarie um again he lost to the great Angel D but he ko'ed Lucas Alexander again he got him with a lucky shot as Lucas Alexander was but I do like his finishing ability and I think Weston Wilson is one of the worst fighters in the UFC he is Ricky Terio he is um how else do I put it who was the other guy Jesse Butler bad like this guy is the worst of the worst in terms of the featherweight division bottom of the barrel he is there to just promote Fighters um so that way they can get a good looking win on their resume first round finish I'm going ja Aerie to win a first round knockout over Westin Wilson I just think Westin Wilson is that bad drerie first round knockout this will be an easy one Carli Judice versus Gabriela Fernandez um sorry I'm looking for a coin I have no idea what's gonna happen um I want to take Gabriella Fernandes because of experience but I think Carly judice is a young upand cominging fighter and has potential to do something in the sport that the judges might just give it in her favor she lands a lot that's 11.2 strikes per minute again she's had 14 total fights let's just look a little bit more into this I don't really know what the I want to do here versus Cara she had a split decision which I do remember this one she arguably could have won this fight and car I think just got a win in the UFC Gabriella Fernandez is not overly talented neither of these girls can really get this fight to the ground her nickname is something as simple as Gabby every time it goes to a decision she loses to Jasmine judicious and I think she got their piss beat out of her by Jasmine judicious and she's not that good it let's go Underdog I don't really care about this fight uh Carly judice to win a decis ision because Gabriel Fernandez can't win a decision don't bet on this fight I have no idea what's going to happen but I'm going because I want to take an underdog here Josh Quinlan versus teir and beckov I want Joshua van to win this fight so bad and I actually don't think tar is that good but I think tar is the perfect style to beat Joshua van he's going to be able to get to the hips and get a taked down Joshua van has short reach which means that when he tries to land punches he's going to try and get in closer and tar is just going to get shooting tar looked like there was some struggling against Cody Duran until he got it to the ground and then he dominated Cody Duran on the ground he also sub Nate Maness in one round he lost to Tim Elliott Tim Elliott is better in the grappling than Joshua van is as I believe so far I do like Joshua van striking a lot I think he can land really good body shots but I don't think he's going to be able to stuff the takedowns to land really good body shots in the clinch and then out strike Ty tan beckov he might come out like a bat out of hell and get win but I'm going to try and go against my heart here I want Joshua van to win this fight I think he's a supremely talented flyweight he's 22 years old we have time I'm gonna go with teiru and beckov though I just think it's a bad fight from Joshua van but I think Josh Quinlan's going to be competitive I think UL beckov is going to win a 2928 decision Van's gonna get it really close on third round where Tatsuro Taira gases and Van starts Landing a lot of damage but it's going to be too much to overcome after the first two rounds of being on the ground I'm going U Beck off 2928 decision by grappling and doing nothing for the first two rounds and Joshua van winning the third round based off of damage being able to finally stuff a takedown and do some good work on the feet Brady Hiestand versus Garrett Armfield um two pretty slept on bantamweights they're all right um I think Garrett Armfield is a lot better than he gets credit for I think his boxing's pretty good I think he looked really good against Brad Katona and I think he's going to win this fight via 2928 decision um it's going to be one that we should look at as unanimous but I could see a random split coming in here I like Brady highand but I like Garett Armfield too and I like Garett armfield's ability to stay on the feet and strike and I think he's going to be able to stuff those takedowns from Brady Hiestand I think highand is going to shoot him but I do think highand is going to tire out and that's when you're going to see Garrett Armfield really start to pull away in this second and third round I think first round Brady High stand's gonna push a really crazy Pace but not be able to get Garrett Armfield out of there and then he's really gonna tire out and Armfield is just gonna pick him apart and win this fight by maybe a late round three TKO or a round two TKO but I think he's going to end up winning a 2928 decision by rounds two and three I really want to go Jose Johnson here and it's a crazy Underdog pick too I know that Asu Almabayev is a tremendous Grappler really good kazakhstani Grappler he Ed Vergara Vergara did have some success stuff in takedowns eventually I think Jose Johnson and he subbed oose OD Osborne who's nothing that special but he did fight people right outside the rankings already and he's got those wins for alv let's Jose Johnson here Jose Johnson's got this height he's got the range I can see Alma bayv running into trouble getting into there entries but I think once he gets them he can get Jose Johnson down Jose Johnson has been subbed four times got subed by Deone black I think he got TW yeah he's the guy that got twister by demone Black Shear Deone blacksher is a awesome fighter though and he's going down to fight at flyweight I think he's going to struggle with this weight cutting gas out and elaba is going to be able to take him down to win this fight alabay is going to win this fight by round two submission over Jose Johnson getting his Tak down and getting the choke rather quickly going Underdog here Douglas Silva de andrj I think Silva de andrj has really good power I think he has great takedown defense and I think he's a very hard matchup for Miles Johns I don't know why miles John's favored it here I think Miles Johns has a little bit of power but a very suspect gas tank I don't think he uses his kicks well I think he's got good punches that's all he's got in a me wrestling game but a me wrestling game to do nothing to Douglas Silva de andrj I feel this is my lock of the card here honestly is Douglas Silva de andr I think he's going to be able to shoot his hips back stuff to take down working his kicks really well miles John's gases out at the start of round two and Douglas Silva de Andrade gets a round two KO via some shots to the body like a kick to the body and then follows it up with punches up top getting a ground and pound TKO dougas Silva J and draj round two miles Johns isn't going to be able to get him down and Miles Johns is be able to land the crazy punches I think Silva de Andra is going to be able to get his range well and he's going to win this fight Timothy Cuamba versus Lucas Almeida I like Timothy Cuamba I think I really like the fight he put up against Baki ogi but we see sometimes with those Fighters when they step in and there's nothing to lose they perform at their best this one he's got time I don't like that Lucas Almeida got koed by sabatini he got sub by a satin is a really good Jiu-Jitsu specialist but he doesn't have anything else Lucas Almeida knocked out trano he got uded by zel Huber he's pretty big for the weight class I might go Lucas Almeida fluk no I'm going Timmy kwba to win a 3027 unanimous decision I think he's to dominate Lucas Almeida I think he's going to get his takedowns when he needs them I think he's going to be able to land really well in the feet and I think that based off his performance against BAGI ogiing in there after taking it on like six days notice seven days notice maybe I think it's gonna give him enough confidence to go get that win Timmy kwamba is gonna win 3027 unanimous decision and lastly Alex Alex Perez tatsuro Terra we're going through this prediction video pretty quick now originally it was supposed to be R alisara versus um McKenzie der's boyfriend I forget his name um and obviously IAM would have won that but rr's now getting a shot against Robert Whitaker because Hamza can't fight rrom doesn't deserve that shot he hasn't beaten any ranked guys he beat warley Alvarez a fat welterweight sorry fat welterweight that moved up to middleweight that has no gas tank no cardio again it got ended in the first round but took it on short notice Alis Scara beat the p out of him and I do think Alis Scar's a good fighter but like dude he hasn't fought anyone in the rankings yet and now he's just getting a shot in a main event at Whitaker if he flukes a win versus Whitaker now I do think Whitaker is gonna batter him but if he flukes a win versus Whitaker that's just the most unfair thing ever to Robert Whitaker all of a sudden rram goes up to the number three ranked Contender dude this is annoying it's pissing me off but anyway we're going to get to Alex Perez versus Tatsuro Taira now Alex Alex Perez when he gets taken down he can get subbed by top level Grapplers makv is a good nut hugger he's not a good submission artist but I like Alex Perez's striking I like his grappling and I think I'm hearing people say that taya's grapp Taya striking is actually pretty good I disagree I think he's very hitable I think his striking is a little lackluster when he goes in he leaves his chin on the line and I think Alex Perez is coming off some serious momentum especially after that knockout win over match Nell I think Taya has a low-key suspect in and I think he is a very suspect gas tank I'm going to go with Alex Alex Perez to win this fight and I'm going to go with him to Win It by a round four TKO by overwhelming tatsuro Tatsuro Taira he's going to get taken down a little bit early but it's going to be an end rounds and he's going to survive these rounds but you're going to see Tayes gassing out and Alex Alex Perez is going to put the foot on the pedal walk down tatsuro Terra terra's going to lose this and it's not something he should be upset about because again he's 24 he has plenty of time to build himself back up but we see sometimes these undefeated Fighters they face the real test Alex Alex Perez is a real test at this point and I think he's going to get a finish over Tatsu Roa with a knockout in round four three maybe even as late as five but I don't think this gets to round five even if Alex Perez ends up losing he's gonna get subbed earlier than that I'm gonna go with Alex Perez to win this fight via Round 4 KO I think he has the power I think he's much better at striking obviously he's not as good of a Grappler but I think Taya is going to have a little bit of a tough time getting this to the ground as much as he wants and I think his first five rounder he's going to feel the pace and the pressure and not be able to sustain his cardio his striking suspect now he could choke out Alex PR and I could be eating my words but I'm going with Underdog pick here I picked Alex Perez to beat Schnell and everyone picked uh sorry picked Alex Perez to beat uh Nicola and everyone picked Nicola for all the reasons that everyone listed I went Alex Perez because I trusted my gut and I'm trusting my gut here Alex Alex Perez wins this fight by knockout in the fourth round”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
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Knutsson’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted