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Johns vs AndradeMain Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Almabayev v Johnson
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almabayev 23-3
VS
16-9 Johnson
5'4"
height
6'0"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
65"
reach
72"
32
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
2.2
56%
striking accuracy
57%
1.0
strikes absorbed / min
1.6
59%
striking defence
52%
5.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
50%
takedown accuracy
60%
50%
takedown defence
38%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“I'll go with Johnson here”
Liam Picks Fights picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“I'll go with Johnson here”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev is my favorite overall spend up option I'm not really taking very many shots on Jose Johnson Asu Almabayev is a very worthwhile pay up option I'm not really taking very many shots on Jose Johnson”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev is my favorite overall spend up option I'm not really taking very many shots on Jose Johnson Asu Almabayev is a very worthwhile pay up option I'm not really taking very many shots on Jose Johnson”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jose Johnson VALUE
“Jose Johnson a plus 475”
$5.75
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jose Johnson VALUE
“Jose Johnson a plus 475”
$5.75
FC
Fight Fan Culture picks Asu Almabayev
“I think he's going to take the win here gonna be able to grind it out mainly using grappling to get the dominant decision win”
Fight Fan Culture picks Asu Almabayev
“I think he's going to take the win here gonna be able to grind it out mainly using grappling to get the dominant decision win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“ass Su alab bayv wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“ass Su alab bayv wins this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev ... is just going to take him down as many times as he wants to with relative ease once he's on the ground he may snatch something up and submit him or just continue to take him down over and over again”
We Want Picks picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev ... is just going to take him down as many times as he wants to with relative ease once he's on the ground he may snatch something up and submit him or just continue to take him down over and over again”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Asu Almabayev
“I think Serie wins I think he finishes him probably”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Asu Almabayev
“I think Serie wins I think he finishes him probably”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Asu Almabayev
“27 out of 30 channels predict him to win this fight”
$1.16
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Asu Almabayev
“27 out of 30 channels predict him to win this fight”
$1.16
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev that is going to be the clear play”
$1.15
Bloody Water Podcast picks Asu Almabayev VALUE
“Asu Almabayev that is going to be the clear play”
$1.15
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Jose Johnson
“I don't see this one happening something in me right now I don't know why it's telling me Jose Jose Johnson can land a knockout early in this fight”
$4.35
Bloody Water Podcast picks Jose Johnson
“I don't see this one happening something in me right now I don't know why it's telling me Jose Jose Johnson can land a knockout early in this fight”
$4.35
UP
UCF Podcast picks Asu Almabayev
“I'm going to pick uh ASO”
UCF Podcast picks Asu Almabayev
“I'm going to pick uh ASO”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almabayev23-3
W
Johnson
Jun '26
W
Perez
Nov '25
W
Ochoa
Jul '25
L
Kape
Mar '25
W
Nicolau
Oct '24
Johnson16-9
L
Bunes
Jan '25
L
Almabayev
Jun '24
W
Anheliger
Nov '23
L
Blackshear
Aug '23