MMA Prophecy
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The Club and Sub Podcast

1.1k subscribers · 23 videos analysed · 162 picks graded
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Overall ROI
-3.2%
Beats close
25%
Hit rate
23%
Net units
-4.3
Graded picks
162
Closing-line value beat the close = sharp
25%
of picks beat the close
median channel: 30%
#201 of 264 →
34 beat 83 flat 20 faded
+0.4%Avg CLV
137Picks priced
+23%Best beat
CLV per pick — distribution
← faded the close±1% flatbeat the close →
Best closes beaten
Brzeski MLUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 $3.95$3.20 close +23%
Suarez MLUFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva $1.35$1.24 close +9%
Baghdasaryan MLUFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song $5.80$5.35 close +8%
CLV = the best price available when the pick was published vs where the line closed (±1% counts as flat). Beating the close consistently is the most durable sharpness signal — it shows up long before ROI and survives the variance ROI doesn't.
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By bet type
Moneyline134 picks · 53% hit -3.2%
KO/TKO2 picks · 50% hit
Strongest divisions
Middleweight64%
22 picks
Lightweight53%
19 picks
Bantamweight42%
19 picks
Flyweight42%
12 picks
Welterweight54%
11 picks
Recent breakdowns newest first
Prochazka vs Ulberg | #UFC327 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #251 2 months ago · 6 picks · 50% hit -14.7% Adesanya vs Pyfer | #UFCSeattle Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #249 3 months ago · 2 picks · 50% hit -43.0% Holloway vs Oliveira 2 | #UFC326 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #247 4 months ago · 12 picks · 50% hit -3.8% Dvalishvili vs Yan | #UFC323 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #242 7 months ago · 12 picks · 42% hit -25.5% Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 | #UFC320 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #236 9 months ago · 12 picks · 50% hit -27.4% Lopes vs Silva | #UFCNoche Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #234 9 months ago · 10 picks · 60% hit +15.8% Du Plessis vs Chimaev | #UFC319 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #231 10 months ago · 8 picks · 62% hit +10.5% Poirier vs Holloway 3 | #UFC318 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #227 11 months ago · 10 picks · 50% hit +1.7% Hill vs Rountree | #UFCBaku Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #224 12 months ago · 8 picks · 75% hit UPCOMING Buckley vs Usman | #UFCAtlanta Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #223 12 months ago · 0 picks UPCOMING Song vs Cejudo | #UFCSeattle Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #209 16 months ago · 10 picks · 50% hit -18.3% Moreno vs Albazi | #UFCEdmonton Full Card Betting Break Down | The Club and Sub Podcast #198 20 months ago · 17 picks · 47% hit -17.2% Curtis vs Allen 2 | #UFCVegas90 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #173 27 months ago · 10 picks · 60% hit +39.2% Tuivasa vs Tybura | #UFCVegas88 Full Card Betting Break Down | The Club and Sub Podcast #170 28 months ago · 8 picks · 50% hit -2.7% Rozenstruik vs Gaziev | #UFCVegas87 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #168 28 months ago · 10 picks · 70% hit +12.0% Dolidze vs Imavov | #UFCVegas85 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #164 29 months ago · 11 picks · 55% hit -15.9% Dawson vs Green | #UFCVegas80 Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #153 33 months ago · 4 picks · 75% hit +73.7%