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The Club and Sub Podcast
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · breakdown

Tuivasa vs Tybura | #UFCVegas88 Full Card Betting Break Down | The Club and Sub Podcast #170

TP The Club and Sub Podcast55% hit
28 months ago 4W–4L · +0.0u 8/9 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:0015:4331:2747:10≈62:54
CA Chad Anheliger v Charalampos Grigoriou MONEYLINE WON
“I might end up betting Char here just because I mean like he's not great don't get me wrong like he's just got a little bit of power on the feet decent hands decent leg kicks susceptible to wrestling but I don't think Chad is much outside of power like he's pretty low volume and I I just feel like this is a decent spot for Char to just land the bigger shots and potentially even find a late finish”
Line since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.50 close$2.48
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
CM Cory McKenna v Jaqueline Amorim MONEYLINE LOST
“I bet McKenna minus 120 to win a unit again not super passionate take similar to the first fight but it's like I understand like jacqulyn could have success here she's definitely faster early definitely has the physicality Edge early could land some takedowns but if she doesn't find a finish early I just find it very tough for her to win the fight because in later rounds I feel like she definitely is more predicated on getting a guard sub reversing position which to me I mean I think McKenna I know she's pretty green but I think she's physically like she she decently built herself um so I feel like the lat of this fight goes again all favors McKenna”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.80 close$1.80
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
JC Joshua Culibao v Danny Silva MONEYLINE LOST
“give me the UFC vet who I think is the sharper Striker and I think the faster Striker what are your thoughts here last iine actually pretty similar to you here on this and actually to like to your point at the end there like outside of like that Contender series fight with Peko yeah he hasn't F in anybody and I was watching his tape and I'm just like all right this guy's got decent boxing all right good volume but like he's super hitable on the feed and his approach like his pressure is very easy for guys to time takedowns and I know Kabal you know not a great wrestler historically even though he does go for it probably could land a takedown or two here not get a lot of meaningful control but I think again if anything it's sways on his side there and I think kall again like you touched on with the knockdowns he hits really hard and with Silva's defense I think he could easily land some big shots here sway rounds like that”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.57
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
TM Thiago Moisés v Mitch Ramirez MONEYLINE WON
“I think Thiago should be able to handle him in the on the feet much better Striker and then I mean we haven't seen him uh Ramirez on the ground at all but I mean the levels here in the grappling are night and day so I think Moes probably could find a sub late the under two and a half is like minus 130 not sure if I'm going to look at that or just look at the uh maybe Moes late routes late sub props but I haven't looked into those either”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.27 close$1.27
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
OO Ode' Osbourne v Jafel Filho MONEYLINE LOST
“I would lean with the filo side personally with the late takedowns here I just I even think Glenn bot said you think he could sub early I kind of think he could if he gets to top position fast enough you know yeah but to your point OD probably oh is an athlete is's an explosive enough athlete that he might be able to just explode out of something early in the fight and he's a much better Striker here so yeah I think I think probably this fight would look better for live betting uh moving on though I do have a bet here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.43 close$2.43
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish
CC Chelsea Chandler v Josiane Nunes MONEYLINE WON
“I have a unit and a half on the fight I have a unit a Chandler plus one 28 I have another half unit of plus 137 um I think Nunes is terrible I made no secret about that on this pod I bet bayi against her and honestly on rewatch that fight the funny thing is it was an ugly finish but it was more competitive than I remember like mki pretty much landed everything she threw she just gassed out two and a half minutes into the fight and then got viciously knocked out but I mean you just watch nunet she's not a good wrestler she got taken down three times of Ramona Pascal who's terrible she fought Zara faren last fight who's a 40-year-old like the bottom barrel of the division she is the woman they give you to kill so they can kind of give you like a little bit of shine and faen literally almost won the fight and literally touched her with everything she threw so I mean josanne hits hard but she's small I think she's a bad Grappler I don't even think she's particularly fast you know like she just she fights like John L cardio too”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.25 close$2.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
ID Isaac Dulgarian v Christian Rodriguez MONEYLINE LOST
“I bet a good amount of dgan at minus 125 and I'll be honest like first of all I think the line where it is now is kind of it's at best I think right I think it's possible it's got off it's got off the defense yeah I I'm actually considering like just seeing what I can Freer roll on it just because so my general thinking is srod being up at 145 is probably not great for him against the guy who always fights there granted they're going to be about the same size but like we've seen Isaac throw around bigger 45s than Cod the guy's obviously very very strong and I know I I've heard great things about him in the gym I know his wrestling pedigree is like legit legit and his control seems very legit to me and so I think he's gonna get trra down I'm pretty sure he'll get CRA down in this fight and likely get a fair amount of control time um especially since srod kind of seems like if you can get to his hips he's a bit noodly there”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$1.67 close$1.56
entry: SI Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
BB Bryan Battle v Ange Loosa MONEYLINE VALUE
“I think battle's a better fighter I I I do I mean he's he's he's taller he's longer he's got more reliable volume he's got more reliable cardio I think in extended grappling exchanges he's probably a better Grappler but at the same time I I just feel like battle like loose is pretty aggressive man and if you crash forward and get inside on Battle like that dude is there to be absolutely mugged you know he can get hit he can get taken down Hardware I think it's kind of tough to measure because I sort of think battle's more durable than Luca is but also I think Luca hits a lot harder than battle I I don't actually like I don't actually I know battle ice gave Green but I feel like that was more green just going full [__] than it was Battle that dude what was it's funny cuz like extreme pressure was the right idea but like just biting the mouthpiece with your chin in the air and like swinging in the was was not was not it not it it was outrageous but I feel as if yeah I don't know I trust battle's volume more I trust him in round three more I think if Luca tries to Grapple him he could get himself in a lot of trouble here because yeah unless you're like a punishing heavy Grappler like reat battle's kind of a funky got to deal with he's tall and long and he kind of knows how to use like those arms and legs to create chokes that allow him to sweep and get the dominant positions and I think that could cause Luca a fair amount of issues”
Line since pick CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.63 now$1.57
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
MT Marcin Tybura v Tai Tuivasa MONEYLINE WON
“I lean to the tyor side oh what Lees you John um all right well I guess I think John must accidentally clicked leave instead of probably the chat to type that in there I'm guessing you accidentally hit leave instead of the chat there I guess I I think my mouse was hovering over and I went to hit it on the touchpad and it just like exited that's what I figured yep yep all right I a new laptop and we still somehow I found a way to [__] it up like mid here um hey and I say while we're on that you [__] up speaking of [__] up what are we doing here dude that it's rough times for marchain temp right here what are we doing here that is I I do feel like tyor is obviously the side just given if he gets on top of Tai he's going to absolutely destroy him here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.00 close$2.00
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish