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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Filho v Osbourne
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Filho 17-5
VS
13-9 Osbourne
5'7"
height
5'7"
135 lb
weight
135 lb
69"
reach
73"
33
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.5
strikes landed / min
3.3
41%
striking accuracy
40%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
54%
striking defence
45%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
74%
takedown accuracy
28%
71%
takedown defence
63%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I'm going now this thing's going to take an extra 20 minutes... old Osborne I'm an underdog here... third round flying The Knockout”
The Fight Week Show picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I'm going now this thing's going to take an extra 20 minutes... old Osborne I'm an underdog here... third round flying The Knockout”
MM
Magnusisp MMA picks Jafel Filho
“going to go with Jafel Filho OD Osborne clearly just not that good for the flyweight division cuz he got beat by the goat”
Magnusisp MMA picks Jafel Filho
“going to go with Jafel Filho OD Osborne clearly just not that good for the flyweight division cuz he got beat by the goat”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jafel Filho
“give me Jafel Filho by sub”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Jafel Filho
“give me Jafel Filho by sub”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Jafel Filho
“foo's going to be the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Jafel Filho
“foo's going to be the pick”
TP
The City Life Project picks Jafel Filho
“I'm going to go with him I think he's more dangerous especially in his submissions... so I'm going with Phil ho”
$1.57
The City Life Project picks Jafel Filho
“I'm going to go with him I think he's more dangerous especially in his submissions... so I'm going with Phil ho”
$1.57
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Jafel Filho
“we follow in the flyweight division with Ode' Osbourne versus Jafel Filho”
MMAWeekly.com picks Jafel Filho
“we follow in the flyweight division with Ode' Osbourne versus Jafel Filho”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jafel Filho
“I think probably Jafel Filho probably maybe get some subs them in round three probably gets him out of there in round three two or three”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jafel Filho
“I think probably Jafel Filho probably maybe get some subs them in round three probably gets him out of there in round three two or three”
MO
monkeykingbets picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE
“I think Ode' Osbourne from Southpaw is going to be landing damage on filio and if fio is able to survive and land a desperation takedown I'm hoping OD Osborne has trained for that to defend the takedown or to get a reversal so that he can you know still win the fight”
monkeykingbets picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE
“I think Ode' Osbourne from Southpaw is going to be landing damage on filio and if fio is able to survive and land a desperation takedown I'm hoping OD Osborne has trained for that to defend the takedown or to get a reversal so that he can you know still win the fight”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Ode' Osbourne
“I'm actually on Jafel Filho in this”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Ode' Osbourne
“I'm actually on Jafel Filho in this”
FP
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I like the under two and a half actually I'm going fight not to go to distance on this one”
Free Picks PickDawgz picks Jafel Filho VALUE
“I like the under two and a half actually I'm going fight not to go to distance on this one”
TP
The Club and Sub Podcast picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE
“I would lean with the filo side personally with the late takedowns here I just I even think Glenn bot said you think he could sub early I kind of think he could if he gets to top position fast enough you know yeah but to your point OD probably oh is an athlete is's an explosive enough athlete that he might be able to just explode out of something early in the fight and he's a much better Striker here so yeah I think I think probably this fight would look better for live betting uh moving on though I do have a bet here”
The Club and Sub Podcast picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE
“I would lean with the filo side personally with the late takedowns here I just I even think Glenn bot said you think he could sub early I kind of think he could if he gets to top position fast enough you know yeah but to your point OD probably oh is an athlete is's an explosive enough athlete that he might be able to just explode out of something early in the fight and he's a much better Striker here so yeah I think I think probably this fight would look better for live betting uh moving on though I do have a bet here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Filho17-5
L
Durden
Apr '26
W
Carpenter
Oct '25
L
Nascimento
May '25
W
Osbourne
Mar '24
W
Bárez
Jul '23
Osbourne13-9
L
Idiris
Feb '26
L
Erceg
Aug '25
W
Gurule
Apr '25
L
Rodríguez
Sep '24
L
Filho
Mar '24