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The Club and Sub Podcast
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · breakdown

Song vs Cejudo | #UFCSeattle Full Card Betting Breakdown | The Club and Sub Podcast #209

TP The Club and Sub Podcast55% hit
16 months ago 5W–5L · -1.4u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Pick timeline moneylineprop
0:009:1418:2827:42≈36:56
AH Anthony Hernandez v Brendan Allen MONEYLINE WON
“I think Anthony Hernandez should be fine I I just I mean the hardware in general I think you know Anthony Hernandez can be a bit soft to the EVENT_DETAILSdy but outside of his kicks Brendan Allen doesn't really go there much and I think Fluffy's got a much much better chin I actually think he hits a lot harder with his hands than Brendan Allen does as well so it's like you combine that with the fact that he's going to get takedowns at will I mean we've seen this fight this fight happened in LFA years ago they were different Fighters then but Anthony Hernandez kind of mauled him over 25 minutes you know and I think the takedowns are going to be pretty free here”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.35
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
JM Jean Matsumoto v Rob Font MONEYLINE LOST
“I actually was kind of eager to get on Jean if you know it still covered around that- 160- 150 I was getting tempted yeah I was right but really bet online the only only EVENT_DETAILSok available with that line out and as we see it's steaming up to minus 200 probably going to be like 225 by the time it comes out to most spots but yeah no I mean completely agree with you here I think I think takedowns are really the Crux of the fight and I think he can get takedowns not at will per se but he can definitely have a lot of chances to finish the fight I think on the ground as well”
Line since pick CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.56 close$1.66
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AM Alonzo Menifield v Julius Walker MONEYLINE WON
“I think he could really wreck this dude so I'm Inna bet Manfield here I've seen what the line does but I I like that sub joh it's actually not a bad look I mean he's gone for a few depending on what that is yeah yeah uh but moving on though we had a pretty fun fight here in the uh featherweight division we got Andre Fili he's taking on Melquizael Melquizael Costa current price fely minus 125 The Comeback on Melquizael Costa plus 105 what are your thoughts here might have to do a little bit more tipe on this one personally but I I think it's a decent spot for fely like I I think without like some offensive wrestling success for Melquizael Costa I on the feet I think fely is a much much better Striker than him”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.55 close$1.48
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
MC Melquizael Costa v Andre Fili MONEYLINE WON
“I kind of actually lean to the coast as side I think a little bit here just since I think I mean I should I think he is much younger than fely is obviously fely you know he's probably I don't want to say he's washed I don't think he's washed but I think he's he's certainly closer to the end than the beginning of his career and I think his movement has gotten a bit worse over the years but I don't know if I want to bet it because I mean the truth is I mean what's Mel Melquizael Costa's best performance in the UFC like Austin lingo like that doesn't like he hasn't really yet shown that he can like win at this level yet”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.97 close$1.88
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
IC Ion Cuțelaba v İbo Aslan MONEYLINE WON
“I likeon a fair amount I I have concerns that he gets himself knocked out early in this fight because obviously aan is a scary [__] the problem for me is like I I feel like ion's better at everything than Evo is in my opinion like like I God God what I can't get out of my head is watching Anton trali go forward against him and just largely out strike him for the majority of that fight you know Tali is a bad bad Striker and he didn't get takedowns and was winning you know there was they were one-1 going into the third or in the third you know and likeon is a much better Striker than jali and he's much more powerful and eEVENT_DETAILS is very very hitable”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.53 close$2.60
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
EM Eric McConico v Nursulton Ruziboev MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna eventually take mcconico here I think the price is just very very extreme uh moving on I'll throw it back to you again we got Ricky Simón he's taking on Javid Javid Basharat current price EVENT_DETAILSsot minus 310 The Comeback on Ricky Simón plus 260 any interest in either side here not really I think this is kind of giving me Vibes of the main event where the the new guard is ushering out the Old Guard where I think Ricky is gonna need to have you know a decent bit of wrestling success to stay competitive in this fight”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.50 close$3.50
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
JB Javid Basharat v Ricky Simón MONEYLINE LOST
“I think it should be JV shouldn't have much issue yeah I uh I agree with that statement I I am the thing is what concerns me with jvid is and I was talking to someone aEVENT_DETAILSut this they brought this up so credit to them not me but yeah I could see Ricky maybe implementing something similar to like the Tony gralley fight and it's worth keeping in mind that gralley did win the first round against uh Javed it was a fairly competitive fight uh you know where maybe Rick's able to get a lot of clinch time land like four or five takedowns Anders able to keep minutes close just B via being very very grindy”
Line since pick CLV −7%
◆ entry$1.38 close$1.48
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MA Mansur Abdul-Malik v Nick Klein MONEYLINE WON
“I think Monsour is yeah I think I don't want to say he's free I'm not betting minus 800 toling it but I feel like they're making this fight for him to knock him out so I don't have a lot else to say he's a much better fighter he should take care of him what are your thoughts the physicality the physicality Gap here is mass insane yeah it's crazy yeah I mean this should be a quick finish like you mentioned for Mansur Abdul-Malik I mean has some has some offensive wrestling upside but it's very low level I I this this this should be a squash match”
Line since pick CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.11
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
HC Henry Cejudo v Song Yadong MONEYLINE LOST
“I kind of think the margins are going to probably be relatively thin and then you talk about Henry's grappling I I don't expect Henry to come out here and grapple Fox song per se but I think he'll get a couple takedowns and I mean song has not looked great the couple times he's been flat put flat on his back in the UFC you know if you get him down near the fence he works up okay if you get him flat though you know we saw Cory sandhagen hold him down for half round we saw Peter Jan get a fair amount of top time against him you go further back in the day we saw Cody stamin just Maul him on top I I feel like in a fight that could be very very low volume a taked down or two or three could swing the kind of rounds like toward Henry I don't know I really just unless Henry comes out really hot and aggressive I kind of feel like it's going to be pretty stary back and forth uh so I I lean the Henry side”
Line since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$3.50 close$3.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MB Melsik Baghdasaryan v Jean Silva MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm gonna bet Melsik Baghdasaryan here I think this is crazy I think Jean Silva's better I think he's got better Hardware he's a bit faster but I don't I I made Jean Silva like 67 70% in that range I I do not see how he's getting priced up now in like the 85% range for this fight what do you think am I crazy”
Line since pick CLV +8%
◆ entry$5.80 close$5.35
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish