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SY
HC
Yadong vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
BA
Hernandez vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
RF
JM
Font vs MatsumotoMain Card · Catchweight
JS
MB
Silva vs BaghdasaryanMain Card · Featherweight
AM
JW
Menifield vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IC
İA
Cuțelaba vs AslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MC
AF
Costa vs FiliPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MA
NK
Abdul-Malik vs KleinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
JB
Simón vs BasharatPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AV
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Vanderford vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Catchweight
NR
EM
Ruziboev vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
RC
Bukauskas vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
HC
Yadong vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
BA
Hernandez vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
RF
JM
Font vs MatsumotoMain Card · Catchweight
JS
MB
Silva vs BaghdasaryanMain Card · Featherweight
AM
JW
Menifield vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
IC
İA
Cuțelaba vs AslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MC
AF
Costa vs FiliPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MA
NK
Abdul-Malik vs KleinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
JB
Simón vs BasharatPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
AV
NV
Vanderford vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Catchweight
NR
EM
Ruziboev vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
RC
Bukauskas vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Silva
over Baghdasaryan · Featherweight
Our fair value$1.17
pays above fair
$1.21
Best prices · Silva
DraftKings · US
$1.21
Paddy Power · UK
$1.20
Pinnacle · EU
$1.21
PlayUp · AU
$1.20
Where to back Silva
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.17
US
DraftKings
$1.21
+3%
DraftKings
$1.21
+3%
UK
Paddy Power
$1.20
+2%
Paddy Power
$1.20
+2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.21
+3%
Pinnacle
$1.21
+3%
AU
PlayUp
$1.20
+2%
PlayUp
$1.20
+2%
How it endsmethod calls · Silva · crowd line
KO/TKO
23
$1.68
Submission
2
$19.35
Decision
7
$5.53
None
1
$38.70
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Silva 16-3
VS
8-3 Baghdasaryan
5'7"
height
5'9"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
69"
reach
70"
29
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
3.7
strikes landed / min
5.3
41%
striking accuracy
61%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.1
68%
striking defence
58%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
43%
takedown accuracy
0%
51%
takedown defence
72%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market85% vs 83%
Consensus51 of 55 analysts
Sharpest angleSilva by KO/TKO — 23 of 33 method calls
Recommendation
Back Silva @ $1.21 · fair $1.17
+3% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I'm picking Jean Silva fight all right”
GLO MMA picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I'm picking Jean Silva fight all right”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I'm going 29-28 melc back to San by decision”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I'm going 29-28 melc back to San by decision”
TS
The Open Mat Show picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I really think Jean Silva is going to win this but I think this could actually be a very very close fight”
The Open Mat Show picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I really think Jean Silva is going to win this but I think this could actually be a very very close fight”
AM
Ain't No Way MMA picks Jean Silva
“Jean Silva is just better in every way he has the momentum he's a fighting nerd it's on the te I don't see a way he loses his fight he looks so good in every fight he does”
Ain't No Way MMA picks Jean Silva
“Jean Silva is just better in every way he has the momentum he's a fighting nerd it's on the te I don't see a way he loses his fight he looks so good in every fight he does”
RI
RightTakeMMA picks Jean Silva
“I think Jean Silva's going to pull power counter him all day”
RightTakeMMA picks Jean Silva
“I think Jean Silva's going to pull power counter him all day”
PR
PredictionStrike picks Jean Silva
“gonna get go with Jean Silva's submission there”
PredictionStrike picks Jean Silva
“gonna get go with Jean Silva's submission there”
AH
Aaron Haden picks Jean Silva
“I'm going to go with Nick Nick Klein Ricky Simón Ricky Simón makano İbo Aslan Andre Fili Fili for sure Alonzo Menifield Alonzo Menifield Menifield Jean Silva Jean Silva Silva”
Aaron Haden picks Jean Silva
“I'm going to go with Nick Nick Klein Ricky Simón Ricky Simón makano İbo Aslan Andre Fili Fili for sure Alonzo Menifield Alonzo Menifield Menifield Jean Silva Jean Silva Silva”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jean Silva
“I'm G to pick Jean Silva Jean Silva Silva here”
We Want Picks picks Jean Silva
“I'm G to pick Jean Silva Jean Silva Silva here”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I think John Silva is going to get it done”
We Want Picks picks Jean Silva VALUE
“I think John Silva is going to get it done”
MB
Michael Bisping picks Jean Silva
Michael Bisping picks Jean Silva
TP
Tony's Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“I got to go with silver to win in that one”
Tony's Picks picks Melsik Baghdasaryan VALUE
“I got to go with silver to win in that one”
UT
UFC Unfiltered: Dalt's Take picks Jean Silva
“I'm G to be riding Jean Jean Silva till I die dude I can see him taking it by KO”
$1.18
UFC Unfiltered: Dalt's Take picks Jean Silva
“I'm G to be riding Jean Jean Silva till I die dude I can see him taking it by KO”
$1.18
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Silva16-3
W
Allen
Jan '26
L
Lopes
Sep '25
W
Mitchell
Apr '25
W
Baghdasaryan
Feb '25
W
Dober
Jul '24
Baghdasaryan8-3
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
L
Silva
Feb '25
W
Lutz
Jul '23
L
Culibao
Feb '23
W
Souza
Nov '21