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Bukauskas vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Hernandez vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight
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Menifield vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Costa vs FiliPreliminary Card · Featherweight
MA
NK
Abdul-Malik vs KleinPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
JB
Simón vs BasharatPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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NV
Vanderford vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Catchweight
NR
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Ruziboev vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Bukauskas vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bukauskas v Cerqueira
Light Heavyweight
Our fair value
$1.40
best price $1.38
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Bukauskas
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.40
US
BetOnline.ag
$1.38
-1%
BetOnline.ag
$1.38
-1%
UK
Betway
$1.36
-3%
Betway
$1.36
-3%
EU
EVE
Everygame
$1.37
-2%
AU
Ladbrokes AU
$1.38
-1%
Ladbrokes AU
$1.38
-1%
How it endsmethod calls · Bukauskas · crowd line
KO/TKO
8
$3.15
Decision
10
$2.52
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7
VS
11-1 Cerqueira
6'3"
height
—
204 lb
weight
—
78"
reach
—
32
age
36
Switch
stance
Southpaw
4.4
strikes landed / min
1.2
47%
striking accuracy
100%
2.8
strikes absorbed / min
32.9
64%
striking defence
22%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
30%
takedown accuracy
0%
58%
takedown defence
0%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market72% vs 72%
Consensus22 of 31 analysts
Sharpest angleBukauskas by Decision — 10 of 18 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Modestas Bukauskas
“my subscribers and I went with modestas bowas”
$1.44
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Modestas Bukauskas
“my subscribers and I went with modestas bowas”
$1.44
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas
“my pick is Modestas Bukauskas buddy because Raffael Cerqueira despite being a black belt ... Modestas Bukauskas is going to show him what it's like to be in the UFC so yeah my pick modestus bowkus probably uh I don't know within should it be within distance I'm not sure I haven't decided on how but that's my side my pick”
$1.31
Capper Comparison Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas
“my pick is Modestas Bukauskas buddy because Raffael Cerqueira despite being a black belt ... Modestas Bukauskas is going to show him what it's like to be in the UFC so yeah my pick modestus bowkus probably uh I don't know within should it be within distance I'm not sure I haven't decided on how but that's my side my pick”
$1.31
MM
Money Mitch MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm going Modestas Bukauskas that's for sure”
Money Mitch MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'm going Modestas Bukauskas that's for sure”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I think that this is a more winnable fight for Ciria”
$3.30
Liam Picks Fights picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I think that this is a more winnable fight for Ciria”
$3.30
PR
PredictionStrike picks Modestas Bukauskas
“yeah I'm going with Modestas Bukauskas probably by decision here”
PredictionStrike picks Modestas Bukauskas
“yeah I'm going with Modestas Bukauskas probably by decision here”
NM
NewGen MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'd go with confidence Modesta mowz”
NewGen MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas
“I'd go with confidence Modesta mowz”
UT
UFC Unfiltered: Dalt's Take picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I will be uh taking Raffael Cerqueira in this first fight I'm going to see an upset here um Modestas Bukauskass Bukauskas I mean I have watched some of his videos seems like he's got some game to him but rafhael uh from what I've seen he looks like he might be getting it done here if it's not by K it might just be by decision”
$3.30
UFC Unfiltered: Dalt's Take picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I will be uh taking Raffael Cerqueira in this first fight I'm going to see an upset here um Modestas Bukauskass Bukauskas I mean I have watched some of his videos seems like he's got some game to him but rafhael uh from what I've seen he looks like he might be getting it done here if it's not by K it might just be by decision”
$3.30
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I'm going with none other than the one the only modestus bukow”
MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“I'm going with none other than the one the only modestus bukow”
MP
MCA PICKS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“Y por último Modestas Bukauskas es es un peleador que me ha gustado mucho el Caminito que ha llevado inició con un Debut triunfante después aventó tres al hilo de rotas y la última contra calil round 3 y ha sabido recomponer se ha mostrado un poquito más completo más inteligente y creo que va a seguir ese caminito ha estado evolucionando me me ha gustado ese ese ese ritmo que ha llevado ahorita 44 y esperemos 54 va a llegar su rec no esperemos Yo confío en que se va a dar eso”
MCA PICKS picks Modestas Bukauskas
“Y por último Modestas Bukauskas es es un peleador que me ha gustado mucho el Caminito que ha llevado inició con un Debut triunfante después aventó tres al hilo de rotas y la última contra calil round 3 y ha sabido recomponer se ha mostrado un poquito más completo más inteligente y creo que va a seguir ese caminito ha estado evolucionando me me ha gustado ese ese ese ritmo que ha llevado ahorita 44 y esperemos 54 va a llegar su rec no esperemos Yo confío en que se va a dar eso”
GM
Green Bets MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“Modestas Bukauskas should win better Striker should be able to find the chin rafl if not probably going to go to the decision uh I can imagine probably a round two knockout if anything Modestas Bukauskas holds Good power”
Green Bets MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE
“Modestas Bukauskas should win better Striker should be able to find the chin rafl if not probably going to go to the decision uh I can imagine probably a round two knockout if anything Modestas Bukauskas holds Good power”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Modestas Bukauskas
“modestus will be the pick”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Modestas Bukauskas
“modestus will be the pick”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Raffael Cerqueira
“only eight channels have picked Rafael to win”
$3.25
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Raffael Cerqueira
“only eight channels have picked Rafael to win”
$3.25
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W
Edwards
May '26
L
Krylov
Jan '26
W
Craig
Sep '25
W
Cuțelaba
May '25
W
Cerqueira
Feb '25
Cerqueira11-1
L
Bukauskas
Feb '25
L
Aslan
Oct '24