MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
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SY HC Yadong vs CejudoMain Card · Bantamweight AH BA Hernandez vs AllenMain Card · Middleweight RF JM Font vs MatsumotoMain Card · Catchweight JS MB Silva vs BaghdasaryanMain Card · Featherweight AM JW Menifield vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight IC İA Cuțelaba vs AslanPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight MC AF Costa vs FiliPreliminary Card · Featherweight MA NK Abdul-Malik vs KleinPreliminary Card · Middleweight RS JB Simón vs BasharatPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AV NV Vanderford vs VeretennikovPreliminary Card · Catchweight NR EM Ruziboev vs McConicoPreliminary Card · Middleweight MB RC Bukauskas vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE We back Simón over Basharat · Bantamweight Our fair value$2.74 Coolbet pays above fair $3.10
Where to back Simón best price · region · EV vs fair $2.74
US Caesars $3.05 +12%
UK Betway $3.00 +10%
EU Coolbet $3.10 +13%
AU Ladbrokes AU $3.00 +10%
Consensus63 picks · conf 73/99
Simón 29
34 Basharat
TMLLAM pick Simón
How it endsmethod calls · Simón · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $9.58
Decision 5 $3.83
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Simón 20-6 VS 14-2 Basharat
height 5'9"
weight 136 lb
reach 69"
33 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 5.4
43% striking accuracy 53%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
61% striking defence 62%
5.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
44% takedown accuracy 40%
75% takedown defence 85%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 32%
Consensus29 of 63 analysts
Sharpest angleSimón by Decision — 5 of 7 method calls
Recommendation Back Simón @ $3.10 · fair $2.74 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC Genie picks Javid Basharat VALUE “I had Javid Javid Basharatarat uh money line and I'd Javid Javid Basharatarat by decision”
GM GLO MMA picks Javid Basharat VALUE “I'm picking Javid Basharat to Mission if Ricky it”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Ricky Simón “pick Ricky Simón look good”
BS B ALL N Sports picks Javid Basharat VALUE
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Javid Basharat VALUE “I'm going nicolay venikov”
AM Ain't No Way MMA picks Ricky Simón VALUE “that's why I'm going with my boy Ricky Simón I know he lost to Song Yadong the headliner of this card by the way why is Ricky Simón on the prelims below Alonzo Menifield I can't believe that anyways he's got great straights his cardio is insane for a three- on fight he can push the pace the entire fight and not even get close to tired chains great takedowns I mean he he kind of has it all and I think people are just really leaving him out of this fight give me uh give me my boy by decision”
CA ContraGolpe - Analisa picks Javid Basharat VALUE “V em Vitória aí do Javid Basharat”
LG Lonzii Gambles picks Ricky Simón “give me Ricky Simón mour”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Javid Basharat VALUE “siento que j basharat se le va a dar este Duelo Aunque Ricky Simón es alguien con mucho poder de nocao que también se la está colocando difícil a Song Yadong en aquella ocasión Pero bueno al final se le fue el gas y siento que sí cumple el favoritismo de menos 290 J bashar va a ganar” $1.34
MM Money Mitch MMA picks Ricky Simón “I'm going Ricky Simón he's actually one of the guys that beat morab in Mor Rob's first two fights not that that matters but I'm going Ricky Simón based on just pushing the action and he's going to throw more volume”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Ricky Simón VALUE “I'm taking Ricky Simon at plus 2xx every time”
JO JoDan616 picks Javid Basharat “I'm going to go with bashat I think bashat can get it done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Simón20-6
L Barcelos Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Smotherman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Basharat KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Bautista Decision · R3 Jan '24
Basharat14-2
W Vázquez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Simón KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Mendonça Decision · R3 Jan '23
W Gravely Decision · R3 Sep '22