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UFC 267: Błachowicz vs. Teixeira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Murphy v Amirkhani Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Murphy 5
2 Amirkhani
HMGUW pick Murphy
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Murphy 17-0-1 VS 17-9 Amirkhani
5'9" height —
146 lb weight —
73" reach —
34 age 37
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.8 strikes landed / min 1.3
54% striking accuracy 44%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
60% striking defence 46%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 4.0
54% takedown accuracy 43%
48% takedown defence 35%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “big win for Lerone Murphy he's 11-0-1”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Lerone Murphy “and it takes Lerone Murphy”
WP We Want Picks picks Lerone Murphy “i'm also very high on americani as far as with his wrestling and stuff i think he can control the fight”
KU Kunath picks Makwan Amirkhani VALUE “Makwan Amirkhani he's definitely winning the first round he's definitely going to secure a takedown at some point which means the fight will be on the ground if he could tie up a submission from down there you're in a great spot”
HB Half The Battle picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “give me Lerone Murphy to turn up on makwan amir khani down the stretch”
WP We Want Picks picks Lerone Murphy “i think mira connie can win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Makwan Amirkhani VALUE “he'd be my pick easy no problem he'd be my pick”
KU Kunath picks Makwan Amirkhani VALUE “if i do makwanamir khani is probably the play”
GP Greedo Plays picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “i like leroy murphy to win this one i think he will outstrike makwan and miraconia after stopping stuffing a couple takedowns”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Makwan Amirkhani “i gotta roll with murphy there” $1.29
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Lerone Murphy VALUE “i'm on Lerone Murphy all day here... Lerone Murphy for the win here” $1.33
Recent form last five, most recent first
Murphy17-0-1
L Evloev Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Pico KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Emmett Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Ige Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Barboza Decision · R5 May '24
Amirkhani17-9
L Shore Submission · R2 Mar '23
L Pearce KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
W Grundy Submission · R1 Mar '22
L Murphy KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21
L Kirk Decision · R3 Jun '21