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UFC 267: Błachowicz vs. Teixeira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Ulanbekov v Nascimento Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Ulanbekov 4
1 Nascimento
HMGW pick Ulanbekov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ulanbekov 15-2 VS 22-7 Nascimento
5'7" height 5'8"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 70"
34 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 5.1
45% striking accuracy 37%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
51% striking defence 57%
3.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
46% takedown accuracy 42%
61% takedown defence 75%
2.1 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “goodwin brings him to 13-1 he beats Allan Nascimento nacimento to start the night off”
HB Half The Battle picks Tagir Ulanbekov “i'm just going to pick uh willembekov by a close close decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Allan Nascimento VALUE “if you want to take a flyer on Allan Nascimento he may be worth it because his grappling is good his striking is better”
WP We Want Picks picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i like Tagir Ulanbekov by complete mauling”
GP Greedo Plays picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i still like we won't back up that will win this one by decision”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Tagir Ulanbekov “i like tigger uline bekov to to win that fight” $1.27
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Tagir Ulanbekov VALUE “i got ullen beck off getting it done he will win this bout decision” $1.29
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ulanbekov15-2
L Horiguchi Submission · R3 Nov '25
W Maksum Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Carpenter Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Durden Submission · R2 Dec '23
W Maness Submission · R1 Nov '22
Nascimento22-7
L Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Durden Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Filho Decision · R3 May '25
W Hernández Submission · R1 Jan '23
W Hadley Decision · R3 May '22