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UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Turman v Alvey Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Turman 3
1 Alvey
UWW pick Turman
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Turman 18-8 VS 33-18-1 Alvey
6'0" height —
171 lb weight —
72" reach —
29 age 40
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.2 strikes landed / min 3.3
51% striking accuracy 44%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
45% striking defence 52%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
20% takedown accuracy 14%
42% takedown defence 82%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Sam Alvey VALUE “i think sam alvi could very well get a knockout here”
WP We Want Picks picks Wellington Turman VALUE “dan likes wellington in this fight”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Wellington Turman “i'm gonna take Wellington Turman” $1.67
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Wellington Turman “I like chman though all right I told you there was a theme of Strikers fighting on this card” $1.67
Recent form last five, most recent first
Turman18-8
L Gooden Submission · R2 Dec '23
L Brown Decision · R3 Jun '23
L Petroski Decision · R3 Nov '22
W Cirkunov Submission · R2 Feb '22
W Alvey Decision · R3 Aug '21
Alvey33-18-1
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '22
L Allen Submission · R2 Feb '22
L Turman Decision · R3 Aug '21
L Marquez Submission · R2 Apr '21
L Spann Decision · R3 May '20