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UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Jacoby v Stewart Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Jacoby 3
1 Stewart
UWW pick Jacoby
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1 VS 12-8 Stewart
6'3" height —
204 lb weight —
76" reach —
38 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.0
65% striking accuracy 45%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
64% striking defence 48%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
38% takedown accuracy 45%
61% takedown defence 67%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UW Uncle Weezy picks Darren Stewart VALUE “i'm gonna actually pick the underdog here and Darren Stewart to win a greasy ass decision”
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i absolutely love Dustin Jacoby in general i love him in this fight” $89.00
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “i'm gonna take Dustin Jacoby”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Dustin Jacoby “I like jacobe to win this fight” $1.53
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23
Stewart12-8
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 Aug '21
L Anders Decision · R3 Jun '21
L Holland Decision · R3 Sep '20
W Pitolo Submission · R1 Aug '20
W Winn Decision · R3 Oct '19