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MA
AP
Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MD
CS
Dvalishvili vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
KJ
Procházka vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JE
YZ
Emmett vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight
AM
JP
Magomedov vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
ES
AM
Shahbazyan vs MunizPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CG
FB
Gutiérrez vs BasharatEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
DS
YJ
Santos vs Joo-sangPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MC
YS
Chiasson vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
PM
JW
Mix vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PS
NV
Soriano vs VeretennikovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
RB
AV
Brahimaj vs VanderfordEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
VH
BW
Hardy vs WalkerEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AG
TV
Gautier vs VinesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AP
Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight
MD
CS
Dvalishvili vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight
JP
KJ
Procházka vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JE
YZ
Emmett vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight
AM
JP
Magomedov vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight
ES
AM
Shahbazyan vs MunizPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CG
FB
Gutiérrez vs BasharatEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
DS
YJ
Santos vs Joo-sangPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MC
YS
Chiasson vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
PM
JW
Mix vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
PS
NV
Soriano vs VeretennikovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
RB
AV
Brahimaj vs VanderfordEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
VH
BW
Hardy vs WalkerEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AG
TV
Gautier vs VinesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Pereira
over Ankalaev · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.86
1xBet
pays above fair
$3.32
Best prices · Pereira
BetMGM · US
$3.00
Virgin Bet · UK
$2.90
1xBet · EU
$3.32
SportsBet · AU
$3.02
Where to back Pereira
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.86
US
BetMGM
$3.00
+5%
BetMGM
$3.00
+5%
UK
Virgin Bet
$2.90
+1%
Virgin Bet
$2.90
+1%
EU
1XB
1xBet
$3.32
+16%
AU
SportsBet
$3.02
+6%
SportsBet
$3.02
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$3.12
How it endsmethod calls · Pereira · crowd line
KO/TKO
53
$3.62
Decision
10
$19.17
Draw
1
$191.74
None
3
$63.91
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ankalaev 21-2-1
VS
13-3 Pereira
6'3"
height
6'4"
204 lb
weight
251 lb
75"
reach
79"
34
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.1
strikes landed / min
5.5
65%
striking accuracy
54%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
54%
striking defence
61%
2.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.1
35%
takedown accuracy
0%
84%
takedown defence
92%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market35% vs 30%
Consensus163 of 370 analysts
Sharpest anglePereira by KO/TKO — 53 of 67 method calls
Recommendation
Back Pereira @ $3.32 · fair $2.86
+16% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
OC
Octa2K picks Alex Pereira
“my pick here is Alex Pereira for real, bro.”
Octa2K picks Alex Pereira
“my pick here is Alex Pereira for real, bro.”
ST
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I'm taking Magomed Ankalaev.”
Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I'm taking Magomed Ankalaev.”
FI
FightCircuit picks Alex Pereira
“I just don't think it's going to happen. NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 320 picks NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 alive by round four NOT_IN_ROSTER_3. I hope I'm wrong, but we've seen this story before. The champion loses, he regroups, he gets back, he's locked in, and everyone thinks he's going to come back and make it the I just didn't see anything from Alex Pereira in the first fight to make me confidently pick him.”
FightCircuit picks Alex Pereira
“I just don't think it's going to happen. NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 320 picks NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 alive by round four NOT_IN_ROSTER_3. I hope I'm wrong, but we've seen this story before. The champion loses, he regroups, he gets back, he's locked in, and everyone thinks he's going to come back and make it the I just didn't see anything from Alex Pereira in the first fight to make me confidently pick him.”
FH
Fight HQ picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Main event. Uh, give me underdog number one. I'm gonna say Alex uh regains the title.”
$3.20
Fight HQ picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Main event. Uh, give me underdog number one. I'm gonna say Alex uh regains the title.”
$3.20
FH
Fight HQ picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“I'm going to go Ingalive. I'll go Magomed Ankalaev.”
$1.36
Fight HQ picks Magomed Ankalaev VALUE
“I'm going to go Ingalive. I'll go Magomed Ankalaev.”
$1.36
CS
Celeb Shore picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I do think Alex Pereira has the tools to pull this off... you want Alex Pereira to win this.”
Celeb Shore picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I do think Alex Pereira has the tools to pull this off... you want Alex Pereira to win this.”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alex Pereira
“Um, I'm gonna pick Alex Pereira.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Alex Pereira
“Um, I'm gonna pick Alex Pereira.”
DM
DMan&MariPulls picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I think Magomed Ankalaev will take it to decision on a boring snoozefest.”
DMan&MariPulls picks Magomed Ankalaev
“I think Magomed Ankalaev will take it to decision on a boring snoozefest.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Alex Pereira has a chance to flip the script... He needs to dictate business, chop at his opponent's legs, force exchanges at the mid range... I just think I am just getting plus 210.”
etoft21 sports picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“Alex Pereira has a chance to flip the script... He needs to dictate business, chop at his opponent's legs, force exchanges at the mid range... I just think I am just getting plus 210.”
HP
High Low Sports Podcast picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I still think Alex has a really good shot to win. So, I'm not going to touch the money lines with this one. What I will say is we're going to copy our last bet. Does the fight go the distance? The answer is no.”
$3.30
High Low Sports Podcast picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I still think Alex has a really good shot to win. So, I'm not going to touch the money lines with this one. What I will say is we're going to copy our last bet. Does the fight go the distance? The answer is no.”
$3.30
KO
Kyle OHare picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“my money is going to be on Alex Pereira”
Kyle OHare picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“my money is going to be on Alex Pereira”
JU
JussJustin picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I'm picking anchov. I'm sorry. I don't click off this video. Just listen to me when I tell you I don't think that Alex Pereira prepared in the way that he should have for this fight... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 is going to take it again.”
JussJustin picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I'm picking anchov. I'm sorry. I don't click off this video. Just listen to me when I tell you I don't think that Alex Pereira prepared in the way that he should have for this fight... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 is going to take it again.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ankalaev21-2-1
L
Pereira
Oct '25
W
Pereira
Mar '25
W
Rakić
Oct '24
W
Walker
Jan '24
W
Smith
Jul '22
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24