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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
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MA AP Ankalaev vs PereiraMain Card · Light Heavyweight MD CS Dvalishvili vs SandhagenMain Card · Bantamweight JP KJ Procházka vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight JE YZ Emmett vs ZalalMain Card · Featherweight AM JP Magomedov vs PyferMain Card · Middleweight ES AM Shahbazyan vs MunizPreliminary Card · Middleweight CG FB Gutiérrez vs BasharatEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight DS YJ Santos vs Joo-sangPreliminary Card · Catchweight MC YS Chiasson vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight PM JW Mix vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Bantamweight PS NV Soriano vs VeretennikovEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight RB AV Brahimaj vs VanderfordEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight VH BW Hardy vs WalkerEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight AG TV Gautier vs VinesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE We back Emmett over Zalal · Featherweight Our fair value$4.28 Pinnacle pays above fair $4.96
Where to back Emmett best price · region · EV vs fair $4.28
US Caesars $4.80 +12%
UK Virgin Bet $4.50 +5%
EU Pinnacle $4.96 +16%
AU SportsBet $4.75 +11%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $5.00
Consensus166 picks · conf 99/99
Emmett 50
116 Zalal
LSTFАM pick Emmett
How it endsmethod calls · Emmett · crowd line
KO/TKO 25 $7.19
Submission 1 $179.68
Decision 15 $11.98
None 1 $179.68
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Emmett 19-6 VS 18-5-1 Zalal
5'6" height 5'10"
146 lb weight 146 lb
70" reach 72"
41 age 29
Orthodox stance Switch
5.9 strikes landed / min 4.6
58% striking accuracy 61%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
49% striking defence 51%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
63% takedown accuracy 38%
58% takedown defence 88%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market23% vs 20%
Consensus50 of 166 analysts
Sharpest angleEmmett by KO/TKO — 25 of 42 method calls
Recommendation Back Emmett @ $4.96 · fair $4.28 +16% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OC Octa2K picks Youssef Zalal “Youssef Zalal by decision. Lock that in.”
MM MASKED MMA picks Youssef Zalal “I think gonna have to lean towards uh Youssef Zalal”
ST Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Josh Emmett “I'm going for Josh Emmett, man. ... Josh Emmett does get a big win.”
FH Fight HQ picks Josh Emmett “Give me Shabbazian. I said it earlier. I might as well stick with it.” $1.21
FH Fight HQ picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “Uh, Zal. Zal definitely.” $4.50
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Youssef Zalal “yeah I'm taking Youssef Zalal ... All right, Youssef Zalal is our pick ... Youssef Zalal minus 470. lock.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “NOT_IN_ROSTER_13 is very light for a submission here... if uh if Sal can't find that early submission, I don't see why he doesn't have any any issues with just standing there, finding his distance, picking apart with volume and really nice footwork... I think ultimately I'd lean towards the law winning this by a decision.”
HP High Low Sports Podcast picks Youssef Zalal VALUE “We're going to take Youssef Zalal to win and under a half takedown for Josh Emmett on the bet.”
KO Kyle OHare picks Josh Emmett VALUE “I'm going to go with Josh Emmett here. I have an upset going on.”
BM Belal Muhammad picks Josh Emmett “I'm going to peg Zad.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Youssef Zalal “He should win this fight.”
PR Premium-Picks picks Youssef Zalal “give me Youssef Zalal regardless.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Emmett19-6
L Vallejos KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Zalal Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Murphy Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Mitchell KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Topuria Decision · R5 Jun '23
Zalal18-5-1
L Sterling Decision · R5 Apr '26
W Emmett Submission · R1 Oct '25
W Kattar Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Shore Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Errens Submission · R1 Aug '24