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UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
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CP NM Prates vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight RR GM Ridder vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight GB CR Bolaños vs RomiousMain Card · Bantamweight GR LP Robertson vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MA DT Abdul-Malik vs TodorovićMain Card · Middleweight DG KK Gomes vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight ES ZS Santos vs ScrogginPreliminary Card · Catchweight CR MS Radtke vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight DB CS Blackshear vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TG AT Gore vs TrócoliPreliminary Card · Middleweight MM KS Mullins vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Kowalkiewicz over Gomes · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$8.77 DraftKings pays above fair $21.00
Where to back Kowalkiewicz best price · region · EV vs fair $8.77
US DraftKings $21.00 +140%
UK Unibet (UK) $14.00 +60%
EU Unibet (EU) $14.00 +60%
AU Unibet $14.00 +60%
Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Gomes 34
7 Kowalkiewicz
SUEDTZ pick Gomes
How it endsmethod calls · Kowalkiewicz · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $17.54
Decision 1 $17.54
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gomes 10-3 VS 16-10 Kowalkiewicz
5'2" height 5'3"
115 lb weight 116 lb
63" reach 64"
26 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 5.5
50% striking accuracy 43%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.5
51% striking defence 57%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
25% takedown accuracy 22%
67% takedown defence 74%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market11% vs 5%
Consensus7 of 41 analysts
Sharpest angleKowalkiewicz by KO/TKO — 1 of 2 method calls
Recommendation Back Kowalkiewicz @ $21.00 · fair $8.77 +140% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TA TakeDownTalks picks Denise Gomes VALUE “Denise Gomes for her power and pressure advantage”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Denise Gomes “my subscribers and I went with um Denise Gomes” $1.23
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Denise Gomes VALUE “I like kobok K cheer plus three and a half”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz VALUE “I think Karolina Kowalkiewicz is gonna have a close fight”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Denise Gomes VALUE “I like kobok K cheer plus three and a half”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “will karolina be able to write the ship and make it five of her last six fights green”
KU Kunath picks Denise Gomes VALUE “she's going to come in lower owned she has that big Power we've seen her post those really high ceiling type of scores”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Denise Gomes VALUE “Denise Gomes probably will win”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz “I kind of like plus 390 for karolina here to be honest with you” $4.90
WP We Want Picks picks Denise Gomes VALUE “I think she wins here”
WP We Want Picks picks Denise Gomes VALUE “we have Denise Gomes and Karolina Kowalkiewicz that one is basically a lock I'm not worried about that leg at all kolina Karolina Kowalkiewicz tried and true veteran has been run through the gamut time and time again and she is durable she has veteran Savvy and I'm not worried about that fight getting finished the Melissa Melissa Mullins fight that one worries me a little bit because there's a lot of questions about how good Melissa Mullins is or is not”
FM FunkyBunch MMA picks Denise Gomes “the pick is going to be uh Denise Gomes medium confidence and I think that this fight will go to decision” $1.19
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gomes10-3
W Pennington Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Reed KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Kowalkiewicz Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Moura Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Hill Decision · R3 Nov '23
Kowalkiewicz16-10
L Polastri KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Gomes Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Lucindo Decision · R3 May '24
W Belbiţă Decision · R3 Oct '23
W Demopoulos Decision · R3 May '23