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UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
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CP NM Prates vs MagnyMain Card · Welterweight RR GM Ridder vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight GB CR Bolaños vs RomiousMain Card · Bantamweight GR LP Robertson vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight MA DT Abdul-Malik vs TodorovićMain Card · Middleweight DG KK Gomes vs KowalkiewiczPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight ES ZS Santos vs ScrogginPreliminary Card · Catchweight CR MS Radtke vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight DB CS Blackshear vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TG AT Gore vs TrócoliPreliminary Card · Middleweight MM KS Mullins vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Radtke over Semelsberger · Welterweight Our fair value$1.52 BetUS pays above fair $1.65
Where to back Radtke best price · region · EV vs fair $1.52
US BetUS $1.65 +8%
UK Virgin Bet $1.64 +8%
EU LiveScore Bet (EU) $1.64 +8%
AU TABtouch $1.64 +8%
Consensus41 picks · conf 62/99
Radtke 32
9 Semelsberger
BUMKAK pick Radtke
How it endsmethod calls · Radtke · crowd line
KO/TKO 11 $2.91
Submission 1 $32.02
Decision 8 $4.00
None 1 $32.02
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Radtke 11-5 VS 11-8 Semelsberger
5'9" height 6'1"
171 lb weight 171 lb
72" reach 75"
35 age 33
Orthodox stance Switch
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.8
53% striking accuracy 42%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
56% striking defence 54%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
12% takedown accuracy 57%
100% takedown defence 45%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 61%
Consensus32 of 41 analysts
Sharpest angleRadtke by KO/TKO — 11 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Back Radtke @ $1.65 · fair $1.52 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Charles Radtke VALUE
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Charles Radtke “my subscribers and I went with Charles Radtke” $1.59
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I like Charles Radtke so far”
WP We Want Picks picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I think Charlie rat he does win this fight”
CR Championship Rounds picks Charles Radtke VALUE “gehe ich mit Black”
LM LazyAss MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger “I'm going to put him Bernardo Shaz because he's younger than Ricket”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Charles Radtke VALUE
HP Hayjive Picks picks Charles Radtke “I'll take Charles Radtke for the pick”
RM Rare MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger “I have a feeling he's going to get it done over Charles Radtke”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I think it's Charles Radtke here all day”
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Charles Radtke “I'm going to go with Charles radkey in this one”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Matthew Semelsberger “7 out of 54 pick Matthew Semelsberger to win” $2.31
Recent form last five, most recent first
Radtke11-5
W Prado Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Frunza Submission · R3 Nov '25
L Malott KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Semelsberger KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Semelsberger11-8
L Radtke KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Parsons Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Medić KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
L Wells Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Matthews Decision · R3 Dec '22