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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holobaugh v Kruschewsky
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holobaugh 22-10
VS
15-3 Kruschewsky
5'11"
height
6'0"
156 lb
weight
154 lb
70"
reach
73"
39
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.6
strikes landed / min
5.7
45%
striking accuracy
50%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
47%
striking defence
46%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.7
33%
takedown accuracy
100%
42%
takedown defence
75%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Kurt Holobaugh
“I'm going right I'm going right for Kurt Holobaugh on Kurt Holobaugh's Bruno ... I'm going with Kurt Holobaugh ... yeah I'm a Kurt Holobaugh as well”
The Rambling Dad picks Kurt Holobaugh
“I'm going right I'm going right for Kurt Holobaugh on Kurt Holobaugh's Bruno ... I'm going with Kurt Holobaugh ... yeah I'm a Kurt Holobaugh as well”
BO
BobbyBoy picks Kurt Holobaugh
“next fight we got Kaynan Kruschewsky versus Kurt Holobaugh I honestly picked Kurt Holobaugh because I don't see Kaynan Kruschewsky doing anything crazy to him”
BobbyBoy picks Kurt Holobaugh
“next fight we got Kaynan Kruschewsky versus Kurt Holobaugh I honestly picked Kurt Holobaugh because I don't see Kaynan Kruschewsky doing anything crazy to him”
DG
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“Halo is levels and levels and levels and levels above KUSI”
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“Halo is levels and levels and levels and levels above KUSI”
OT
otsmedia picks Kaynan Kruschewsky VALUE
“I will say Kaynan Kruschewsky shout out power uh has a better striking here I think he's more high level in the MU Thai I think there are times especially in the brener fight where he looked pretty [ __ ] dumb like I I was I don't know I I did not like his his strategy and fight whatsoever he's got long like loopy type of like elusive attacks that I don't think work well in a higher level EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS but uh uh for holo I just don't think especially on paper that his striking is going to match up at all to Kaynan Kruschewsky here and then I think both are pretty decent when it comes to the wrestling here I think this is one where Kane is gonna be a lot more offensive while Kurt's going to try to push forward early but kind of be on the back foot for the rest of the fight um I really don't see where the grappling exchang is going to be dangerous for suon like Kaynan Kruschewsky I could see him more going the other way and obviously I think Kaynan Kruschewsky has way better cardio I've seen howo have some pretty uh struggling times early in his EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS career uh even in The Ultimate Fighter he had uh I don't remember the second fight I don't remember which one it was maybe his first one where he struggled um and I just I have not gotone to the point where I believe in either these two guys but more and Kurt I think this is one where this might be Kurt's last fight in EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS to be quite honest I don't know what his contract is but uh I have not seen it from Kurt where where I wanted to eat my words I almost feel like I'm 75% right of what I saw on the ultimate fighter that when he came back I wasn't like wow he's the [ __ ] dude he totally different guy like I never I I didn't have that moment and uh I think honestly to me I'm I'm going Kaynan Kruschewsky via knout that's what I have in my notes Here I think Kan in Via second round knockout that's what I have”
$1.77
otsmedia picks Kaynan Kruschewsky VALUE
“I will say Kaynan Kruschewsky shout out power uh has a better striking here I think he's more high level in the MU Thai I think there are times especially in the brener fight where he looked pretty [ __ ] dumb like I I was I don't know I I did not like his his strategy and fight whatsoever he's got long like loopy type of like elusive attacks that I don't think work well in a higher level EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS but uh uh for holo I just don't think especially on paper that his striking is going to match up at all to Kaynan Kruschewsky here and then I think both are pretty decent when it comes to the wrestling here I think this is one where Kane is gonna be a lot more offensive while Kurt's going to try to push forward early but kind of be on the back foot for the rest of the fight um I really don't see where the grappling exchang is going to be dangerous for suon like Kaynan Kruschewsky I could see him more going the other way and obviously I think Kaynan Kruschewsky has way better cardio I've seen howo have some pretty uh struggling times early in his EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS career uh even in The Ultimate Fighter he had uh I don't remember the second fight I don't remember which one it was maybe his first one where he struggled um and I just I have not gotone to the point where I believe in either these two guys but more and Kurt I think this is one where this might be Kurt's last fight in EVENT_DETAILoik RadzhabovS to be quite honest I don't know what his contract is but uh I have not seen it from Kurt where where I wanted to eat my words I almost feel like I'm 75% right of what I saw on the ultimate fighter that when he came back I wasn't like wow he's the [ __ ] dude he totally different guy like I never I I didn't have that moment and uh I think honestly to me I'm I'm going Kaynan Kruschewsky via knout that's what I have in my notes Here I think Kan in Via second round knockout that's what I have”
$1.77
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I'm a little bit higher on the Kurt Hollow side”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I'm a little bit higher on the Kurt Hollow side”
FM
FULL SEND MMA picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“next we go to the EVENT_DETAILS Kaynan Kruschewsky takes on Kurt Holobaugh”
FULL SEND MMA picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“next we go to the EVENT_DETAILS Kaynan Kruschewsky takes on Kurt Holobaugh”
MJ
MMA Junkie picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“next we go to the lightweight division Kaynan Kruschewsky takes on Kurt Holobaugh”
MMA Junkie picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“next we go to the lightweight division Kaynan Kruschewsky takes on Kurt Holobaugh”
FI
FightDudes picks Kurt Holobaugh
“give me Kurt Holobaugh over Kaynan Kruschewsky”
FightDudes picks Kurt Holobaugh
“give me Kurt Holobaugh over Kaynan Kruschewsky”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I am and largely just because I think it does go to a decision so I want the extra 25 cents a payout on the Tavaris money line”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I am and largely just because I think it does go to a decision so I want the extra 25 cents a payout on the Tavaris money line”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I'm Gonna Roll with Hall here”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Kurt Holobaugh VALUE
“I'm Gonna Roll with Hall here”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“I am on pelova here”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Kaynan Kruschewsky
“I am on pelova here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holobaugh22-10
L
Leavitt
May '25
L
Hernandez
Mar '25
W
Kruschewsky
Jul '24
L
Ogden
Mar '24
W
Hubbard
Aug '23
Kruschewsky15-3
L
Holobaugh
Jul '24
L
Brener
Nov '23